1. Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Carabao Cup - Season 2026/2027 8th Finals (Knock Out)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Carabao Cup

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Arsenal to win

Our model 61%Bookmakers 90%

Our track record

In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 53%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 54%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 69%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 121 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 51.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.3% than to our 65–70%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Arsenal ahead at half-time

Our model 43%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Fleetwood Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fleetwood Town 0–1 goals

Our model 79%Bookmakers 93%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Arsenal Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Arsenal 2+ goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town–
ArsenalArsenal–

Winner

2 61%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

0-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

118%
X21%
261%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Fleetwood Town46%54%78%22%
Arsenal16%84%44%56%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Fleetwood Town94%6%98%2%
Arsenal71%29%88%12%

1st Half

117%
X40%
242%

1st Score

132%
X6%
263%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

37%

X-2

19%

X-X

12%

1-1

10%

X-1

8%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

4%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

11.9%

0-2

10.7%

1-2

10.4%

1-1

10.2%

0-3

6.3%

1-3

6.1%

0-0

5.6%

1-0

5.3%

2-1

5.0%

2-2

4.6%

2-3

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Carabao Cup

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Carabao Cup gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Arsenal games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Carabao Cup average (56%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 56%
Arsenal2 of 6
BTTSleague 55%
Arsenal3 of 6

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 91 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal corners, cards and goal times

Carabao Cup

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameArsenal: last 5 with these statsPro · free for now

Goal times close to the Carabao Cup average

Fleetwood Town

Arsenal

–

Corners won · league 4.9

4.8

–

Corners conceded · league 4.9

3.8

–

Cards · league 1.6

1.4

–

Opponents' cards · league 1.6

2.4

–

Goals before half-time · league 43%

30%

–

Goals after 75' · league 24%

20%

–

Conceded before half-time · league 43%

0%

–

Conceded after 75' · league 24%

33%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

ArsenalArsenal
1/1
Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
1/3

Both Teams to Score

ArsenalArsenal
1/1
Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
1/3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

ArsenalArsenal
1/1
Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
2/3

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

ArsenalArsenal
0/1
Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
2/3

First Half Result

ArsenalArsenal
0/1
Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
1/3

Correct Score

ArsenalArsenal
0/1
Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
0/3
correct predictionwrong prediction

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