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Everton vs Newcastle United

Everton vs Newcastle United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Carabao Cup - Season 2026/2027 8th Finals (Knock Out)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Everton vs Newcastle United: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Everton vs Newcastle United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Carabao Cup

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Everton to win

Our model 39%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 57%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 68%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 43%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Everton Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Everton 0–1 goals

Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Newcastle United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Newcastle United 0–1 goals

Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Everton vs Newcastle United — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Everton vs Newcastle United. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Carabao Cup - England

Everton–

Newcastle United–

Winner

12 77%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Carabao Cup - England

Everton–

Newcastle United–

Winner

12 77%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

139%

X23%

238%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%	58%	42%	81%	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	58%	42%	81%	19%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	30%	70%	60%	40%	82%	18%	94%	6%
	28%	72%	60%	40%	83%	17%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	30%	70%	60%	40%
	28%	72%	60%	40%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	82%	18%	94%	6%
	83%	17%	94%	6%

1st Half

127%

X43%

230%

1st Score

149%

X6%

246%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

2-2

21%

X-1

14%

X-X

14%

X-2

13%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.6%

2-1

9.1%

0-1

8.4%

1-2

8.0%

1-0

7.8%

0-2

6.2%

0-0

5.6%

2-2

5.6%

2-0

5.5%

3-1

3.9%

1-3

3.6%

3-0

3.4%

0-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Everton vs Newcastle United: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Carabao Cup

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Carabao Cup gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Newcastle United games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Carabao Cup average (56%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 56%

Newcastle United3 of 6

BTTSleague 55%

Newcastle United3 of 6

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 91 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Everton vs Newcastle United corners, cards and goal times

Carabao Cup

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameNewcastle United: last 6 with these statsPro · free for now

Goal times close to the Carabao Cup average

Everton

Newcastle United

–

Corners won · league 4.9

7.0

–

Corners conceded · league 4.9

3.5

–

Cards · league 1.6

2.3

–

Opponents' cards · league 1.6

2.7

–

Goals before half-time · league 43%

33%

–

Goals after 75' · league 24%

33%

–

Conceded before half-time · league 43%

63%

–

Conceded after 75' · league 24%

25%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Everton

1/2

Newcastle United

1/2

Both Teams to Score

Everton

0/2

Newcastle United

1/2

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Everton

1/2

Newcastle United

1/2

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Everton

1/2

Newcastle United

1/2

First Half Result

Everton

1/2

Newcastle United

2/2

Correct Score

Everton

0/2

Newcastle United

0/2

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