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Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting CP to win

Our model 42%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 50%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 51%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 73%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 42%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 6,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shakhtar Donetsk 0–1 goals

Our model 69%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,671 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Sporting CP Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting CP 0–1 goals

Our model 60%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 635 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Champions League - Europe

Shakhtar Donetsk–

Sporting CP–

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Champions League - Europe

Shakhtar Donetsk–

Sporting CP–

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

131%

X27%

242%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	27%	73%	51%	49%	63%	37%	84%	16%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	27%	73%	51%	49%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	63%	37%	84%	16%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	36%	64%	69%	31%	88%	12%	96%	4%
	27%	73%	59%	41%	82%	18%	93%	7%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	36%	64%	69%	31%
	27%	73%	59%	41%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	88%	12%	96%	4%
	82%	18%	93%	7%

1st Half

128%

X42%

230%

1st Score

144%

X8%

248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

25%

1-1

20%

X-X

16%

X-1

14%

X-2

12%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.2%

0-1

10.3%

1-0

8.6%

1-2

8.3%

0-0

8.1%

0-2

7.5%

2-1

7.0%

2-2

5.0%

2-0

4.7%

0-3

3.8%

1-3

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Champions League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Champions League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Sporting CP games less often than the Champions League average (59%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 66%

Sporting CP7 of 10

BTTSleague 59%

Sporting CP5 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 198 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP corners, cards and goal times

Champions League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameSporting CP: last 9 with these statsPro · free for now

Goal times close to the Champions League average

Shakhtar Donetsk

Sporting CP

–

Corners won · league 4.7

3.8

–

Corners conceded · league 4.7

5.3

–

Cards · league 1.8

1.8

–

Opponents' cards · league 1.8

2.1

–

Goals before half-time · league 43%

31%

–

Goals after 75' · league 20%

23%

–

Conceded before half-time · league 43%

43%

–

Conceded after 75' · league 20%

21%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sporting CP

2/3

Shakhtar Donetsk

1/3

Both Teams to Score

Sporting CP

2/3

Shakhtar Donetsk

1/3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sporting CP

2/3

Shakhtar Donetsk

0/3

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sporting CP

1/3

Shakhtar Donetsk

2/3

First Half Result

Sporting CP

1/3

Shakhtar Donetsk

1/3

Correct Score

Sporting CP

0/3

Shakhtar Donetsk

2/3

correct predictionwrong prediction