Arsenal kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 22%).
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Slavia Praha vs Arsenal Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)
Arsenal kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 22%).
Slavia Praha vs Arsenal score prediction
Champions League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Arsenal expected to create clearly more
3.0 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Champions League average is 3.6).
goals expected
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Slavia Praha vs Arsenal — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Arsenal to win
Our track record
In 3,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 3,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 2,228 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Slavia Praha 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Arsenal 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 635 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Slavia Praha vs Arsenal — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Slavia Praha vs Arsenal. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42% | 58% | 70% | 30% | |
| 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 95% | 5% | |
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
20%
X-X
15%
X-1
14%
X-2
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
0-1
12.5%
1-1
10.6%
0-2
9.6%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: the stats that stand out
Champions League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Arsenal: brick wall and hard to break · Slavia Praha: shot-shy
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: attack vs defence
Champions League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Champions League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)


More chances created (xG a game) →
Slavia Praha: weak attack, weak defence (1.28 xG, 2.07 xGA a game)
Arsenal: weak attack, good defence (1.63 xG, 1.08 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Champions League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Champions League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredArsenal games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Champions League average (66%), Slavia Praha games more often.
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 189 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Slavia Praha vs Arsenal corners, cards and goal times
Champions League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameSlavia Praha: last 8 with these statsArsenal: last 9 with these statsSlavia Praha score early
Slavia Praha
Arsenal
4.1
Corners won · league 4.7
5.4
5.9
Corners conceded · league 4.7
3.0
1.9
Cards · league 1.8
1.0
2.4
Opponents' cards · league 1.8
1.4
57%
Goals before half-time · league 42%
33%
29%
Goals after 75' · league 20%
25%
33%
Conceded before half-time · league 42%
25%
29%
Conceded after 75' · league 20%
0%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score