1. Napoli vs Bodø / Glimt

Napoli vs Bodø / Glimt Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 3)

Fast starters

Bodø / Glimt scored first in 6 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 48%).

6/9Scored first · Bodø / Glimt

Napoli vs Bodø / Glimt score prediction

Champions League

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Napoli expected to create clearly more

3.2 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Champions League average is 3.5).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Napoli vs Bodø / Glimt: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Napoli vs Bodø / Glimt — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Napoli to win

Our model 43%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 61%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 64%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 58%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 35%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time (bookmakers said 35.1%).

Napoli Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Napoli 0–1 goals

Our model 52%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Bodø / Glimt Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bodø / Glimt 0–1 goals

Our model 58%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Napoli vs Bodø / Glimt — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Napoli vs Bodø / Glimt. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

NapoliNapoli–
Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt–

Winner

1X 65%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Full Time

143%
X22%
235%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%36%64%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT48%52%73%27%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Napoli24%76%52%48%
Bodø / Glimt30%70%58%42%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Napoli76%24%90%10%
Bodø / Glimt80%20%92%8%

1st Half

133%
X35%
232%

1st Score

153%
X4%
243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

2-2

23%

X-1

15%

X-X

13%

X-2

11%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

9.5%

2-1

8.8%

1-2

7.3%

1-0

6.9%

2-2

6.2%

0-1

5.7%

2-0

5.7%

3-1

4.9%

0-2

4.4%

0-0

4.0%

1-3

4.0%

3-2

3.8%

3-0

3.4%

2-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Napoli vs Bodø / Glimt: the stats that stand out

Champions League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Bodø / Glimt: fast starters

Fast starters
Bodø / Glimt6/9

Bodø / Glimt scored first in 6 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 48%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Napoli vs Bodø / Glimt: attack vs defence

Champions League

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Champions League teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • NapoliNapoli: weak attack, good defence (1.21 xG, 1.54 xGA a game)
  • Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt: weak attack, weak defence (1.24 xG, 2.03 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Napoli vs Bodø / Glimt: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Champions League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Champions League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Napoli games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Champions League average (66%), Bodø / Glimt games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 66%
Napoli3 of 8
Bodø / Glimt9 of 10
BTTSleague 57%
Napoli4 of 8
Bodø / Glimt6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 189 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Napoli vs Bodø / Glimt corners, cards and goal times

Champions League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameNapoli: last 8 with these statsBodø / Glimt: last 9 with these statsPro · free for now

Napoli score early

Napoli

Bodø / Glimt

5.5

Corners won · league 4.8

3.1

3.1

Corners conceded · league 4.8

8.7

2.1

Cards · league 1.8

0.9

1.9

Opponents' cards · league 1.8

1.6

63%

Goals before half-time · league 43%

44%

13%

Goals after 75' · league 20%

6%

38%

Conceded before half-time · league 43%

21%

31%

Conceded after 75' · league 20%

36%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

NapoliNapoli
2/2
Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt
5/5

Both Teams to Score

NapoliNapoli
1/2
Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

NapoliNapoli
1/2
Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

NapoliNapoli
1/2
Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt
1/5

First Half Result

NapoliNapoli
1/2
Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt
1/5

Correct Score

NapoliNapoli
0/2
Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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