Always on the scoresheet
0/10Stoke City scored in all of their last 10 (league 24% fail to score).
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Stoke City vs Bristol City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Riding their luck
Stoke City are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+9points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Stoke City 41% to winBristol City 31%
Stoke City vs Bristol City score prediction
Championship
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.6 goals in total, a little under the Championship average of 2.7.
goals expected
Stoke City1.4
Bristol City1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Stoke City vs Bristol City: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Stoke City vs Bristol City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Championship
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Stoke City to win
Our model 37%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 2,098 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 6,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 74%Bookmakers 74%
Our track record
In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 47%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Stoke City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Stoke City 0–1 goals
Our model 64%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 3,454 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Bristol City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Bristol City 0–1 goals
Our model 65%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 2,653 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Stoke City vs Bristol City — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Stoke City vs Bristol City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Stoke City–
Bristol City–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Stoke City–Bristol City–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
137%
X27%
236%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 70% | 64% | 36% |
| 31% | 69% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
126%
X47%
227%
1st Score
147%
X8%
245%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
20%
2-2
18%
X-X
17%
X-1
14%
X-2
14%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Stoke City vs Bristol City: the stats that stand out
Championship
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Stoke City: always on the scoresheet and fast starters · Bristol City: leaky
0/10Fast starters
7/10Stoke City scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Leaky
1/10Bristol City kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 24%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Stoke City vs Bristol City: attack vs defence
Championship
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Championship teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Stoke City: weak attack, weak defence (1.23 xG, 1.83 xGA a game)
- Bristol City: good attack, good defence (1.57 xG, 1.14 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Stoke City vs Bristol City form and luck check
Championship
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Championship gamesStoke City are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Stoke CityBookmakers: 41% to win today.Clinical · +5 goals+8.9
- Bristol CityBookmakers: 31% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−2.7
Last 5 matches
Stoke CityW
L
W
W
W
Bristol CityL
L
D
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Stoke City 20th of 24 · Bristol City 15th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Stoke City vs Bristol City: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Championship
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Championship gamesBTTS = both teams scoredStoke City games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Championship average (54%), Bristol City games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Stoke City7 of 10
Bristol City5 of 10
BTTSleague 59%
Stoke City7 of 10
Bristol City6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 562 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Stoke City vs Bristol City corners, cards and goal times
Championship
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameStoke City score early, Bristol City late
Stoke City
Bristol City
4.4
Corners won · league 5.2
5.4
5.1
Corners conceded · league 5.2
5.3
2.3
Cards · league 1.9
1.3
2.0
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
2.0
59%
Goals before half-time · league 47%
42%
18%
Goals after 75' · league 21%
42%
21%
Conceded before half-time · league 47%
38%
43%
Conceded after 75' · league 21%
31%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Stoke City2/5
Bristol City1/5
Both Teams to Score
Stoke City3/5
Bristol City1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Stoke City4/5
Bristol City3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Stoke City4/5
Bristol City5/5
First Half Result
Stoke City3/5
Bristol City2/5
Correct Score
Stoke City0/5
Bristol City1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction