Hard to break
2/10Southampton conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 47%).
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Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)
Riding their luck
Southampton are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+5points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Southampton 56% to winQueens Park Rangers 22%
Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers score prediction
Championship
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.0 goals expected
3.0 goals in total: more goals than a typical Championship game (average 2.7).
goals expected
Southampton1.9
Queens Park Rangers1.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Championship
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Southampton to win
Our model 57%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 1,806 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Southampton–
Queens Park Rangers–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Southampton–Queens Park Rangers–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
157%
X24%
219%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 82% | 48% | 52% |
| 46% | 54% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 89% | 11% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
141%
X38%
221%
1st Score
159%
X7%
234%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
36%
X-1
16%
X-X
14%
2-2
11%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers: the stats that stand out
Championship
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Southampton: hard to break · Queens Park Rangers: shot-shy
2/10Shot-shy
4/10Queens Park Rangers failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 24%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers: attack vs defence
Championship
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Championship teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Southampton: good attack, weak defence (1.69 xG, 1.47 xGA a game)
- Queens Park Rangers: good attack, good defence (1.71 xG, 1.14 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers form and luck check
Championship
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Championship gamesSouthampton are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- SouthamptonBookmakers: 56% to win today.+4.6
- Queens Park RangersBookmakers: 22% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals−3.2
Last 5 matches
SouthamptonW
D
W
W
L
Queens Park RangersW
L
W
D
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Southampton 3rd of 24 · Queens Park Rangers 13th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Championship
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Championship gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Southampton and Queens Park Rangers games more often than the Championship average (59%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Southampton5 of 10
Queens Park Rangers5 of 10
BTTSleague 59%
Southampton7 of 10
Queens Park Rangers6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 559 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers corners, cards and goal times
Championship
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Championship average
Southampton
Queens Park Rangers
4.7
Corners won · league 5.2
5.8
4.2
Corners conceded · league 5.2
3.2
2.0
Cards · league 1.9
2.1
2.5
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
2.0
45%
Goals before half-time · league 47%
50%
30%
Goals after 75' · league 21%
8%
38%
Conceded before half-time · league 47%
45%
25%
Conceded after 75' · league 21%
18%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Queens Park Rangers3/5
Southampton2/5
Both Teams to Score
Queens Park Rangers4/5
Southampton3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Queens Park Rangers3/5
Southampton2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Queens Park Rangers2/5
Southampton4/5
First Half Result
Queens Park Rangers0/5
Southampton1/5
Correct Score
Queens Park Rangers1/5
Southampton1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction