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Norwich City vs Southampton

Norwich City vs Southampton 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result

Norwich City

0–1

Southampton

1.4Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Norwich City would usually take 1.2 points and Southampton 1.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Norwich City.

Norwich City −1.2 pts vs chancesSouthampton +1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Norwich City vs Southampton stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Norwich City

Southampton

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

49%

Possession

52%

The match between Norwich City and Southampton ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Norwich City win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Charlton Athletic – Norwich City prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Norwich City vs Southampton — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Norwich City to win

Wrong

Our model 41%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,449 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 2,379 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 38%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,001 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Norwich City Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Norwich City 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Norwich City 2+ goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,850 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Southampton Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Southampton 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Norwich City vs Southampton 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Norwich City vs Southampton. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Championship - England

Norwich City0

Southampton1

Winner

1X 64%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

· FT

Championship - England

Norwich City0

Southampton1

Winner

1X 64%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

141%

X24%

235%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	18%	82%	38%	62%	52%	48%	77%	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	18%	82%	38%	62%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	52%	48%	77%	23%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	24%	76%	54%	46%	79%	21%	92%	8%
	28%	72%	58%	42%	82%	18%	93%	7%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	54%	46%
	28%	72%	58%	42%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	79%	21%	92%	8%
	82%	18%	93%	7%

1st Half

136%

X38%

226%

1st Score

151%

X4%

244%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

19%

X-1

14%

X-X

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.4%

2-1

9.1%

1-2

8.5%

2-2

6.9%

1-0

6.9%

0-1

6.2%

2-0

5.7%

0-2

4.6%

3-1

4.5%

0-0

4.4%

1-3

3.8%

3-2

3.6%

3-0

3.3%

2-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Norwich City vs Southampton — Recent Form

Southampton have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Norwich City have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 21st in the table.

Last 5 matches

Southampton

Norwich City

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Norwich City

2/5

Southampton

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Norwich City

3/5

Southampton

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Norwich City

3/5

Southampton

1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Norwich City

3/5

Southampton

4/5

First Half Result

Norwich City

1/5

Southampton

1/5

Correct Score

Norwich City

0/5

Southampton

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Charlton Athletic – Norwich City prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).