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Watford vs Charlton Athletic

Watford vs Charlton Athletic 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result

Watford

2–0

Charlton Athletic

2.4Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Watford would usually take 2.0 points and Charlton Athletic 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Watford.

Watford +1.0 pts vs chancesCharlton Athletic −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Watford vs Charlton Athletic stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Watford had more than twice the shots on target

Watford

Charlton Athletic

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Watford and Charlton Athletic ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Watford win with 47% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Norwich City – Watford prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Watford vs Charlton Athletic — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Watford to win

Correct

Our model 47%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 3,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,526 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,863 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 4,594 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 42%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,717 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Watford Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Watford 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Charlton Athletic Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Charlton Athletic 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,397 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Watford vs Charlton Athletic 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Watford vs Charlton Athletic. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Championship - England

Watford2

Charlton Athletic0

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

· FT

Championship - England

Watford2

Charlton Athletic0

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

147%

X26%

227%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%	63%	37%	85%	15%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	63%	37%	85%	15%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	56%	44%	81%	19%	93%	7%
	37%	63%	72%	28%	91%	9%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	56%	44%
	37%	63%	72%	28%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	81%	19%	93%	7%
	91%	9%	97%	3%

1st Half

137%

X42%

221%

1st Score

157%

X7%

236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

18%

X-X

15%

2-2

12%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

12.2%

1-0

11.3%

2-1

9.6%

2-0

8.1%

0-1

7.8%

0-0

7.1%

1-2

6.9%

2-2

5.2%

3-1

4.8%

0-2

4.1%

3-0

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Watford vs Charlton Athletic — Recent Form

Watford have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 21st in the table. Charlton Athletic have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 19th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Watford

Charlton Athletic

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Charlton Athletic

2/5

Watford

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Charlton Athletic

3/5

Watford

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Charlton Athletic

3/5

Watford

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Charlton Athletic

2/5

Watford

3/5

First Half Result

Charlton Athletic

4/5

Watford

2/5

Correct Score

Charlton Athletic

1/5

Watford

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Norwich City – Watford prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).