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Viktoria Plzeň vs Sparta Praha

Viktoria Plzeň vs Sparta Praha 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)

Fair result

Viktoria Plzeň

1–1

Sparta Praha

1.9Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Viktoria Plzeň would usually take 1.9 points and Sparta Praha 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Viktoria Plzeň.

Viktoria Plzeň −0.9 pts vs chancesSparta Praha +0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Viktoria Plzeň vs Sparta Praha stats: how the match was played

Chance Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Viktoria Plzeň had more than twice the shots on target

Viktoria Plzeň

Sparta Praha

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

40%

Possession

60%

The match between Viktoria Plzeň and Sparta Praha ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Sparta Praha win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bohemians 1905 – Viktoria Plzeň prediction & betting tips (Nov 21, 2026).

Viktoria Plzeň vs Sparta Praha — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Chance Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sparta Praha to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Viktoria Plzeň to win.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,511 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.6% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,132 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,440 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 38%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 1,970 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.9% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Viktoria Plzeň Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viktoria Plzeň 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Sparta Praha Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sparta Praha 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,029 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 59.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Viktoria Plzeň vs Sparta Praha 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Viktoria Plzeň vs Sparta Praha. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Chance Liga - Czech Republic

Viktoria Plzeň1

Sparta Praha1

Winner

12 76%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

· FT

Chance Liga - Czech Republic

Viktoria Plzeň1

Sparta Praha1

Winner

12 76%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

136%

X24%

239%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	18%	82%	39%	61%	51%	49%	76%	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	18%	82%	39%	61%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	51%	49%	76%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	27%	73%	57%	43%	81%	19%	93%	7%
	26%	74%	55%	45%	79%	21%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	27%	73%	57%	43%
	26%	74%	55%	45%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	81%	19%	93%	7%
	79%	21%	92%	8%

1st Half

131%

X38%

231%

1st Score

149%

X5%

247%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

2-2

22%

X-X

14%

X-1

13%

X-2

12%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.5%

1-2

8.6%

2-1

8.1%

2-2

6.8%

1-0

6.4%

0-1

6.3%

0-2

5.6%

2-0

5.0%

0-0

4.8%

1-3

4.4%

3-1

4.2%

2-3

3.6%

3-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Viktoria Plzeň vs Sparta Praha — Recent Form

Viktoria Plzeň have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Sparta Praha have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Viktoria Plzeň

Sparta Praha

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sparta Praha

2/5

Viktoria Plzeň

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Sparta Praha

2/5

Viktoria Plzeň

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sparta Praha

1/5

Viktoria Plzeň

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sparta Praha

4/5

Viktoria Plzeň

3/5

First Half Result

Sparta Praha

4/5

Viktoria Plzeň

3/5

Correct Score

Sparta Praha

1/5

Viktoria Plzeň

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bohemians 1905 – Viktoria Plzeň prediction & betting tips (Nov 21, 2026).