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Sparta Praha vs Pardubice

Sparta Praha vs Pardubice 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result

Sparta Praha

2–0

Pardubice

2.9Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Sparta Praha would usually take 2.1 points and Pardubice 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Sparta Praha.

Sparta Praha +0.9 pts vs chancesPardubice −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sparta Praha vs Pardubice stats: how the match was played

Chance Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sparta Praha had clearly more shots on target

Sparta Praha

Pardubice

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Sparta Praha and Pardubice ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Sparta Praha win with 58% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sparta Praha – Slovácko prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Sparta Praha vs Pardubice — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Chance Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sparta Praha to win

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 1,794 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,690 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 3,077 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,373 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sparta Praha ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 41%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Sparta Praha Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sparta Praha 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,462 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Pardubice Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pardubice 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,349 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sparta Praha vs Pardubice 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sparta Praha vs Pardubice. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Chance Liga - Czech Republic

Sparta Praha2

Pardubice0

Winner

1 58%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

· FT

Chance Liga - Czech Republic

Sparta Praha2

Pardubice0

Winner

1 58%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

158%

X23%

219%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	18%	82%	39%	61%	52%	48%	75%	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	18%	82%	39%	61%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	52%	48%	75%	25%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	15%	85%	42%	58%	68%	32%	85%	15%
	42%	58%	73%	27%	91%	9%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	85%	42%	58%
	42%	58%	73%	27%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	68%	32%	85%	15%
	91%	9%	97%	3%

1st Half

141%

X39%

219%

1st Score

162%

X5%

233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

36%

X-1

18%

X-X

14%

2-2

11%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

2-1

10.5%

1-1

10.4%

1-0

9.2%

2-0

8.2%

2-2

6.0%

3-0

5.8%

3-1

5.7%

1-2

5.3%

0-0

4.9%

3-2

4.6%

0-1

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Sparta Praha vs Pardubice — Recent Form

Sparta Praha have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Pardubice have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Sparta Praha

Pardubice

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sparta Praha

3/5

Pardubice

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Sparta Praha

1/5

Pardubice

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sparta Praha

2/5

Pardubice

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sparta Praha

5/5

Pardubice

5/5

First Half Result

Sparta Praha

2/5

Pardubice

3/5

Correct Score

Sparta Praha

0/5

Pardubice

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sparta Praha – Slovácko prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).