Fast starters
8/9Palmeiras scored first in 8 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
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Palmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Copa Libertadores - Season 2026 Semi-finals (Knock Out)
Fast starters
Palmeiras scored first in 8 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
8/9Scored first · Palmeiras
Palmeiras vs Fluminense score prediction
Copa Libertadores
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Palmeiras expected to score more than twice as many as Fluminense
2.3 goals in total, a little over the Copa Libertadores average of 2.2.
goals expected
Palmeiras1.6
Fluminense0.6Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Palmeiras vs Fluminense: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Palmeiras vs Fluminense — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Copa Libertadores
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Palmeiras to win
Our model 60%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 57%
Our track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 75%Bookmakers 79%
Our track record
In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Palmeiras ahead at half-time
Our model 45%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Palmeiras Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Palmeiras 2+ goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Fluminense Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Fluminense 0–1 goals
Our model 83%Bookmakers 77%
Our track record
In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Palmeiras vs Fluminense — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Palmeiras vs Fluminense. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Palmeiras–
Fluminense–Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Palmeiras–Fluminense–Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
160%
X24%
216%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 82% | 49% | 51% |
| 52% | 48% | 83% | 17% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
145%
X40%
215%
1st Score
165%
X8%
226%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
41%
X-1
21%
X-X
13%
2-2
8%
X-2
5%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
14.8%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Palmeiras vs Fluminense: the stats that stand out
Copa Libertadores
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Palmeiras: fast starters and always on the scoresheet
8/9Always on the scoresheet
1/10Palmeiras failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 33%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Palmeiras vs Fluminense: attack vs defence
Copa Libertadores
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Copa Libertadores teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Palmeiras: good attack, good defence (1.89 xG, 0.95 xGA a game)
- Fluminense: weak attack, good defence (1.23 xG, 1.12 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Palmeiras vs Fluminense: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Copa Libertadores
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Copa Libertadores gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Palmeiras and Fluminense games more often than the Copa Libertadores average (43%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 35%
Palmeiras4 of 10
Fluminense5 of 10
BTTSleague 43%
Palmeiras6 of 10
Fluminense7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 126 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Palmeiras vs Fluminense corners, cards and goal times
Copa Libertadores
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePalmeiras: last 9 with these statsFluminense: last 9 with these statsBoth sides score early
Palmeiras
Fluminense
5.4
Corners won · league 4.6
2.9
4.4
Corners conceded · league 4.6
4.0
1.6
Cards · league 2.3
2.2
2.7
Opponents' cards · league 2.3
2.0
64%
Goals before half-time · league 41%
55%
21%
Goals after 75' · league 26%
18%
33%
Conceded before half-time · league 41%
64%
33%
Conceded after 75' · league 26%
9%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Fluminense1/5
Palmeiras2/5
Both Teams to Score
Fluminense2/5
Palmeiras3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Fluminense3/5
Palmeiras3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Fluminense5/5
Palmeiras4/5
First Half Result
Fluminense2/5
Palmeiras2/5
Correct Score
Fluminense1/5
Palmeiras1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction