- Home
- Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin
Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin 2-2 Score & Prediction Review
Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Motor Lublin drew despite more chances
Motor Lublin2–2
Zagłębie LubinOn these chances Motor Lublin would usually take 2.2 points and Zagłębie Lubin 0.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Motor Lublin.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin stats: how the match was played
Ekstraklasa
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Motor Lublin had more than twice the shots on target
Motor Lublin
Zagłębie Lubin
7
Shots on target
3
2
Big chances
1
8
Corners
2
2
Yellow cards
2
57%
Possession
43%
Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ekstraklasa
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Motor Lublin to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,689 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,948 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Motor Lublin 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Motor Lublin 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,856 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Zagłębie Lubin 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,279 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Motor Lublin2
Zagłębie Lubin2Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Motor Lublin2Zagłębie Lubin2Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 54% | 46% |
| 35% | 65% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 88% | 12% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
X-1
17%
X-X
16%
2-2
14%
X-2
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
0-1
6.7%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin — Recent Form
Motor Lublin have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Zagłębie Lubin have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Motor LublinZagłębie LubinOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Zagłębie LubinMotor LublinBoth Teams to Score
Zagłębie LubinMotor LublinOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Zagłębie LubinMotor LublinOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Zagłębie LubinMotor LublinFirst Half Result
Zagłębie LubinMotor LublinCorrect Score
Zagłębie LubinMotor Lublin