1. Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Kraków

Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Kraków Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Clinical

Piast Gliwice are scoring more goals than their chances (xG) usually bring

+3goals more than their chances (xG) in their last 10

80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Piast Gliwice 38% to winCracovia Kraków 36%

Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Kraków score prediction

Ekstraklasa

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.7 goals in total, in line with the Ekstraklasa average of 2.7.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Kraków: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Kraków — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ekstraklasa

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Piast Gliwice to win

Our model 37%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 61%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 67%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Piast Gliwice Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Piast Gliwice 0–1 goals

Our model 59%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Cracovia Kraków Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cracovia Kraków 0–1 goals

Our model 60%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Kraków — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Kraków. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice–
Cracovia KrakówCracovia Kraków–

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

137%
X27%
236%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Piast Gliwice27%73%58%42%
Cracovia Kraków27%73%60%40%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Piast Gliwice83%17%94%6%
Cracovia Kraków83%17%95%5%

1st Half

130%
X45%
226%

1st Score

146%
X6%
248%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

21%

2-2

18%

X-X

17%

X-1

14%

X-2

12%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

12.2%

2-1

9.2%

1-2

8.4%

0-1

7.8%

1-0

7.5%

2-2

6.7%

0-0

5.9%

2-0

5.5%

0-2

5.3%

3-1

3.8%

1-3

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Kraków: the stats that stand out

Ekstraklasa

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Cracovia Kraków: slow starters and leaky

Slow starters
Cracovia Kraków2/10

Cracovia Kraków scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).

Leaky
Cracovia Kraków1/10

Cracovia Kraków kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 24%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Kraków: attack vs defence

Ekstraklasa

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Ekstraklasa teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice: good attack, weak defence (1.63 xG, 1.78 xGA a game)
  • Cracovia KrakówCracovia Kraków: good attack, weak defence (1.70 xG, 1.68 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Kraków form and luck check

Ekstraklasa

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ekstraklasa games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Piast Gliwice
    Piast GliwiceBookmakers: 38% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals
    +3.4
  • Cracovia Kraków
    Cracovia KrakówBookmakers: 36% to win today.
    −3.0

Last 5 matches

Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
W
L
W
W
W
7th in table
Cracovia KrakówCracovia Kraków
D
W
L
L
L
11th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Piast Gliwice 10th of 18 · Cracovia Kraków 12th of 18

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Kraków: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Ekstraklasa

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ekstraklasa gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Piast Gliwice games less often than the Ekstraklasa average (60%), in Cracovia Kraków games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Piast Gliwice6 of 10
Cracovia Kraków6 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Piast Gliwice5 of 10
Cracovia Kraków7 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 303 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Kraków corners, cards and goal times

Ekstraklasa

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Piast Gliwice score late

Piast Gliwice

Cracovia Kraków

4.9

Corners won · league 4.9

5.7

7.2

Corners conceded · league 4.9

4.6

1.6

Cards · league 2.0

1.8

1.3

Opponents' cards · league 2.0

1.3

33%

Goals before half-time · league 44%

15%

50%

Goals after 75' · league 26%

31%

25%

Conceded before half-time · league 44%

31%

19%

Conceded after 75' · league 26%

19%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Cracovia KrakówCracovia Kraków
1/5
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
3/5

Both Teams to Score

Cracovia KrakówCracovia Kraków
4/5
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Cracovia KrakówCracovia Kraków
3/5
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Cracovia KrakówCracovia Kraków
2/5
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
5/5

First Half Result

Cracovia KrakówCracovia Kraków
3/5
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
3/5

Correct Score

Cracovia KrakówCracovia Kraków
1/5
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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