Shot-shy
4/10Wisła Płock failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 24%).
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Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Wasteful
Radomiak Radom are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−5goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Radomiak Radom 24% to winWisła Płock 51%
Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom score prediction
Ekstraklasa
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.7 goals in total, in line with the Ekstraklasa average of 2.7.
goals expected
Wisła Płock1.6
Radomiak Radom1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ekstraklasa
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Wisła Płock to win
Our model 47%Bookmakers 51%
Our track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 70%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Wisła Płock Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Wisła Płock 0–1 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Radomiak Radom Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Radomiak Radom 0–1 goals
Our model 70%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Wisła Płock–
Radomiak Radom–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Wisła Płock–Radomiak Radom–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
147%
X25%
227%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 53% | 47% |
| 36% | 64% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
134%
X43%
223%
1st Score
153%
X7%
240%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
17%
X-X
15%
2-2
14%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.5%
2-1
10.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom: the stats that stand out
Ekstraklasa
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Wisła Płock: shot-shy and slow starters
4/10Slow starters
3/10Wisła Płock scored first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom: attack vs defence
Ekstraklasa
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ekstraklasa teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Wisła Płock: weak attack, good defence (1.62 xG, 1.55 xGA a game)
- Radomiak Radom: weak attack, weak defence (1.61 xG, 2.12 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom form and luck check
Ekstraklasa
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ekstraklasa gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Wisła PłockBookmakers: 51% to win today.Wasteful · −3 goals−1.1
- Radomiak RadomBookmakers: 24% to win today.Wasteful · −5 goals−2.3
Last 5 matches
Wisła PłockL
W
W
D
L
Radomiak RadomL
L
L
D
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Wisła Płock 16th of 18 · Radomiak Radom 17th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ekstraklasa
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ekstraklasa gamesBTTS = both teams scoredWisła Płock and Radomiak Radom games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Ekstraklasa average (55%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Wisła Płock6 of 10
Radomiak Radom7 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Wisła Płock5 of 10
Radomiak Radom6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 303 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom corners, cards and goal times
Ekstraklasa
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Ekstraklasa average
Wisła Płock
Radomiak Radom
6.3
Corners won · league 4.9
5.9
4.2
Corners conceded · league 4.9
5.6
1.6
Cards · league 2.0
2.1
2.2
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
3.2
36%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
44%
18%
Goals after 75' · league 26%
11%
41%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
43%
18%
Conceded after 75' · league 26%
9%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Wisła Płock2/5
Radomiak Radom3/5
Both Teams to Score
Wisła Płock2/5
Radomiak Radom3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Wisła Płock3/5
Radomiak Radom2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Wisła Płock4/5
Radomiak Radom3/5
First Half Result
Wisła Płock1/5
Radomiak Radom3/5
Correct Score
Wisła Płock1/5
Radomiak Radom0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction