1. Viking vs Tromsø

Viking vs Tromsø Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 12)

Riding their luck

Viking are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+4points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Viking 63% to winTromsø 18%

Viking vs Tromsø score prediction

Eliteserien

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Viking expected to create clearly more

3.1 goals in total, a little under the Eliteserien average of 3.3.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Viking vs Tromsø: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Viking vs Tromsø — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eliteserien

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viking to win

Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,797 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 57%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 63%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 936 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viking ahead at half-time

Our model 42%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 6,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Viking Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viking 2+ goals

Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Tromsø Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tromsø 0–1 goals

Our model 73%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Viking vs Tromsø — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Viking vs Tromsø. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

VikingViking–
TromsøTromsø–

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

Full Time

159%
X21%
219%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%37%63%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT49%51%73%27%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Viking14%86%39%61%
Tromsø44%56%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Viking65%35%84%16%
Tromsø90%10%96%4%

1st Half

142%
X37%
221%

1st Score

157%
X4%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

37%

X-1

16%

2-2

13%

X-X

11%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

9.3%

2-1

9.3%

2-0

8.9%

1-0

8.7%

3-0

6.5%

3-1

6.5%

2-2

5.7%

1-2

4.9%

0-0

4.3%

0-1

4.2%

3-2

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Viking vs Tromsø: the stats that stand out

Eliteserien

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Viking: always on the scoresheet, banker as favourites and fast starters

Always on the scoresheet
Viking0/10

Viking scored in all of their last 10 (league 22% fail to score).

Banker as favourites
Viking7/9

Viking won 7 of 9 as favourites (league 58%).

Fast starters
Viking6/9

Viking scored first in 6 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 48%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Viking vs Tromsø: attack vs defence

Eliteserien

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Eliteserien teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • VikingViking: good attack, good defence (2.04 xG, 1.58 xGA a game)
  • TromsøTromsø: weak attack, good defence (1.53 xG, 1.24 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Viking vs Tromsø form and luck check

Eliteserien

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Eliteserien games

Viking are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Viking
    VikingBookmakers: 63% to win today.
    +4.0
  • Tromsø
    TromsøBookmakers: 18% to win today.Clinical · +7 goals
    −1.9

Last 5 matches

VikingViking
W
W
W
W
D
2nd in table
TromsøTromsø
D
D
W
L
L
4th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Viking 2nd of 16 · Tromsø 4th of 16

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Viking vs Tromsø: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Eliteserien

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Eliteserien gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Viking and Tromsø games more often than the Eliteserien average (60%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%
Viking7 of 10
Tromsø6 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Viking7 of 10
Tromsø7 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 226 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Viking vs Tromsø corners, cards and goal times

Eliteserien

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the Eliteserien average

Viking

Tromsø

7.5

Corners won · league 5.4

4.1

6.1

Corners conceded · league 5.4

4.2

1.7

Cards · league 1.8

1.9

2.3

Opponents' cards · league 1.8

1.5

56%

Goals before half-time · league 48%

29%

28%

Goals after 75' · league 22%

29%

63%

Conceded before half-time · league 48%

47%

25%

Conceded after 75' · league 22%

18%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

VikingViking
4/5
TromsøTromsø
2/5

Both Teams to Score

VikingViking
3/5
TromsøTromsø
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

VikingViking
3/5
TromsøTromsø
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

VikingViking
3/5
TromsøTromsø
3/5

First Half Result

VikingViking
2/5
TromsøTromsø
1/5

Correct Score

VikingViking
1/5
TromsøTromsø
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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