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Pafos FC vs Riga Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
Paphos vs Riga — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Paphos to win
Our track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Paphos 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Riga 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Paphos vs Riga — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Paphos vs Riga. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Paphos–
Riga–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Paphos–Riga–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28% | 72% | 59% | 41% |
 | 39% | 61% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 85% | 15% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
28%
1-1
21%
X-X
14%
X-2
14%
X-1
11%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-0
11.6%
1-1
9.8%
0-0
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
RigaPaphosBoth Teams to Score
RigaPaphosOver/Under 2.5 Goals
RigaPaphosOver/Under 3.5 Goals
RigaPaphosFirst Half Result
RigaPaphosCorrect Score
RigaPaphos