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Ajax vs Atalanta Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
Ajax vs Atalanta — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Ajax to win
Our track record
In 113 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 26.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.6% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Ajax ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Ajax 2+ goals
Our track record
In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Atalanta 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Ajax vs Atalanta — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Ajax vs Atalanta. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Ajax–
Atalanta–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Ajax–Atalanta–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18% | 82% | 44% | 56% |
 | 39% | 61% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69% | 31% | 85% | 15% |
| 89% | 11% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
42%
X-1
18%
X-X
11%
2-2
10%
X-2
6%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-X
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
0-2
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
AjaxAtalantaBoth Teams to Score
AjaxAtalantaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
AjaxAtalantaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
AjaxAtalantaFirst Half Result
AjaxAtalantaCorrect Score
AjaxAtalanta