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Lech Poznań vs Sunderland Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Lech Poznań vs Sunderland — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Lech Poznań to win
Our track record
In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Lech Poznań 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Sunderland 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.7% than to our 55–60%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Lech Poznań vs Sunderland — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Lech Poznań vs Sunderland. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Lech Poznań–
Sunderland–Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Lech Poznań–Sunderland–Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25% | 75% | 53% | 47% |
 | 29% | 71% | 59% | 41% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 90% | 10% |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
32%
2-2
18%
X-1
16%
X-X
12%
X-2
8%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
0-0
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
2-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Lech PoznańSunderlandBoth Teams to Score
Lech PoznańSunderlandOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Lech PoznańSunderlandOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Lech PoznańSunderlandFirst Half Result
Lech PoznańSunderlandCorrect Score
Lech PoznańSunderland