Home
Leagues
Europa League
Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille

Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 3)

Shot-shy

Sturm Graz failed to score in 5 of their last 8 (league 27%).

5/8Failed to score · Sturm Graz

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sturm Graz to win

Our model 39%Bookmakers 29%

Our track record

In 1,528 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 57%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 66%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 40%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Sturm Graz Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sturm Graz 0–1 goals

Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Olympique Marseille Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympique Marseille 0–1 goals

Our model 60%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.7% than to our 55–60%.

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Europa League - Europe

Sturm Graz–

Olympique Marseille–

Winner

12 76%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Europa League - Europe

Sturm Graz–

Olympique Marseille–

Winner

12 76%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

138%

X24%

238%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%	56%	44%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	56%	44%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	29%	71%	59%	41%	82%	18%	93%	7%
	29%	71%	60%	40%	82%	18%	93%	7%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	59%	41%
	29%	71%	60%	40%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	82%	18%	93%	7%
	82%	18%	93%	7%

1st Half

129%

X40%

231%

1st Score

151%

X6%

243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

23%

X-X

14%

X-1

13%

X-2

13%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.7%

2-1

8.5%

1-2

7.9%

1-0

7.8%

0-1

7.8%

0-2

5.8%

2-0

5.8%

2-2

5.7%

0-0

5.6%

1-3

3.9%

3-1

3.9%

2-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille: the stats that stand out

Europa League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Sturm Graz: shot-shy and slow starters

Shot-shy

5/8

Sturm Graz failed to score in 5 of their last 8 (league 27%).

Slow starters

2/8

Sturm Graz scored first in only 2 of their last 8 (league 48%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Europa League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Europa League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Sturm Graz games less often than the Europa League average (50%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 56%

Sturm Graz4 of 8

BTTSleague 50%

Sturm Graz2 of 8

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 189 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille corners, cards and goal times

Europa League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameSturm Graz: last 8 with these statsPro · free for now

Goal times close to the Europa League average

Sturm Graz

Olympique Marseille

3.0

Corners won · league 4.6

–

5.6

Corners conceded · league 4.6

–

2.3

Cards · league 2.1

–

1.9

Opponents' cards · league 2.1

–

67%

Goals before half-time · league 48%

–

33%

Goals after 75' · league 20%

–

27%

Conceded before half-time · league 48%

–

27%

Conceded after 75' · league 20%

–

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Olympique Marseille

2/2

Sturm Graz

1/2

Both Teams to Score

Olympique Marseille

1/2

Sturm Graz

1/2

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Olympique Marseille

1/2

Sturm Graz

0/2

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Olympique Marseille

1/2

Sturm Graz

2/2

First Half Result

Olympique Marseille

1/2

Sturm Graz

1/2

Correct Score

Olympique Marseille

0/2

Sturm Graz

0/2

correct predictionwrong prediction