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AFC Bournemouth vs AC Milan Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 3)
AFC Bournemouth vs Milan — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Milan to win
Our track record
In 1,528 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
AFC Bournemouth 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Milan 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
AFC Bournemouth vs Milan — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for AFC Bournemouth vs Milan. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
AFC Bournemouth–
Milan–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
AFC Bournemouth–Milan–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 57% | 43% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 34% | 66% | 69% | 31% |
 | 33% | 67% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 96% | 4% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
1-1
21%
X-X
15%
X-2
14%
X-1
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
MilanAFC BournemouthBoth Teams to Score
MilanAFC BournemouthOver/Under 2.5 Goals
MilanAFC BournemouthOver/Under 3.5 Goals
MilanAFC BournemouthFirst Half Result
MilanAFC BournemouthCorrect Score
MilanAFC Bournemouth