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Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)
Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
TSG Hoffenheim to win
Our track record
In 1,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,709 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,304 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,402 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,201 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Crystal Palace 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,021 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.8% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Crystal Palace–
TSG Hoffenheim–Winner
12 77%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Crystal Palace–TSG Hoffenheim–Winner
12 77%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28% | 72% | 58% | 42% |
 | 27% | 73% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
27%
1-1
20%
X-2
14%
X-X
12%
X-1
11%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.0%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
0-2
5.5%
0-0
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.2%
2-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
TSG HoffenheimCrystal PalaceBoth Teams to Score
TSG HoffenheimCrystal PalaceOver/Under 2.5 Goals
TSG HoffenheimCrystal PalaceOver/Under 3.5 Goals
TSG HoffenheimCrystal PalaceFirst Half Result
TSG HoffenheimCrystal PalaceCorrect Score
TSG HoffenheimCrystal Palace