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AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)
AZ vs Juventus — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Juventus to win
Our track record
In 2,086 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,474 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,843 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,540 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,982 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.5% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
AZ 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Juventus 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
AZ vs Juventus — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for AZ vs Juventus. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
AZ–
Juventus–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
AZ–Juventus–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 32% | 68% | 64% | 36% |
 | 30% | 70% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
24%
1-1
21%
X-X
14%
X-1
13%
X-2
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.8%
0-1
9.6%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
7.4%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
AZJuventusBoth Teams to Score
AZJuventusOver/Under 2.5 Goals
AZJuventusOver/Under 3.5 Goals
AZJuventusFirst Half Result
AZJuventusCorrect Score
AZJuventus