Leaky
1/10Celtic kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 27%).
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Celtic vs Beşiktaş Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)
Clinical
Celtic are scoring more goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
+4goals more than their chances (xG) in their last 10
80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Celtic 33% to win
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Celtic vs Beşiktaş: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Celtic vs Beşiktaş — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Celtic to win
Our model 42%Bookmakers 33%
Our track record
In 1,068 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 66%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 407 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 65.4%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 59%
Our track record
In 1,158 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 287 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.5% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Celtic ahead at half-time
Our model 39%Bookmakers 28%
Our track record
In 1,201 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.
Celtic Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Celtic 2+ goals
Our model 50%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 1,868 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Beşiktaş Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Beşiktaş 0–1 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Celtic vs Beşiktaş — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Celtic vs Beşiktaş. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Celtic–
Beşiktaş–Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 56%
Celtic–Beşiktaş–Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 56%
Full Time
142%
X22%
236%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 14% | 86% | 33% | 67% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 44% | 56% | 70% | 30% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 50% | 50% |
 | 28% | 72% | 55% | 45% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 89% | 11% |
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
139%
X35%
226%
1st Score
158%
X3%
239%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
2-2
18%
X-1
16%
X-X
12%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
3-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-0
3.2%
0-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Celtic vs Beşiktaş: the stats that stand out
Europa League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Celtic: leaky and always on the scoresheet
1/10Always on the scoresheet
1/10Celtic failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 27%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Celtic vs Beşiktaş: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Europa League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Europa League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredCeltic games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Europa League average (57%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 57%
Celtic9 of 10
BTTSleague 50%
Celtic8 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 189 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Celtic vs Beşiktaş form and luck check
Europa League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Europa League gamesCeltic: results in line with their chances
- CelticBookmakers: 33% to win today.Clinical · +4 goals+1.5
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Celtic vs Beşiktaş corners, cards and goal times
Europa League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.6
- Cards: league 2.0
- Goals before half-time: league 48%
- Goals after 75': league 21%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Beşiktaş3/5
Celtic1/3
Both Teams to Score
Beşiktaş5/5
Celtic2/3
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Beşiktaş5/5
Celtic3/3
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Beşiktaş2/5
Celtic1/3
First Half Result
Beşiktaş3/5
Celtic1/3
Correct Score
Beşiktaş0/5
Celtic0/3
correct predictionwrong prediction