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Anorthosis vs Pafos FC

Anorthosis vs Paphos 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

1. Division - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Fair result

Anorthosis

1–3

Paphos

1.3Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Anorthosis would usually take 1.2 points and Paphos 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Paphos.

Anorthosis −1.2 pts vs chancesPaphos +1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Anorthosis vs Paphos stats: how the match was played

1. Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Paphos had clearly more shots on target

Anorthosis

Paphos

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

42%

Possession

58%

The match between Anorthosis and Paphos ended 1-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Paphos win with 39% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Both Teams To Score.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Nea Salamis – Paphos prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

Anorthosis vs Paphos — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 1. Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Paphos to win

Correct

Our model 39%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 2,113 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.4% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,860 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 72%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Anorthosis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Anorthosis 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,697 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Paphos Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Paphos 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Paphos 2+ goals.

Our model 61%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 361 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Anorthosis vs Paphos 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Anorthosis vs Paphos. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

1. Division - Cyprus

Anorthosis1

Paphos3

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

· FT

1. Division - Cyprus

Anorthosis1

Paphos3

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

134%

X26%

239%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	26%	74%	50%	50%	62%	38%	85%	15%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	26%	74%	50%	50%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	62%	38%	85%	15%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	33%	67%	65%	35%	87%	13%	96%	4%
	29%	71%	61%	39%	84%	16%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	33%	67%	65%	35%
	29%	71%	61%	39%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	87%	13%	96%	4%
	84%	16%	94%	6%

1st Half

128%

X44%

228%

1st Score

143%

X8%

249%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

1-1

18%

X-X

18%

X-2

14%

X-1

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.9%

0-1

9.1%

1-0

8.6%

1-2

8.5%

2-1

8.1%

0-0

8.0%

0-2

6.9%

2-2

5.7%

2-0

5.6%

1-3

3.7%

3-1

3.2%

0-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Anorthosis vs Paphos — Recent Form

Paphos have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Anorthosis have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Paphos

Anorthosis

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Paphos

1/5

Anorthosis

5/5

Both Teams to Score

Paphos

1/5

Anorthosis

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Paphos

1/5

Anorthosis

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Paphos

4/5

Anorthosis

4/5

First Half Result

Paphos

3/5

Anorthosis

0/5

Correct Score

Paphos

0/5

Anorthosis

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Nea Salamis – Paphos prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).