Brick wall
5/10Hajduk Split kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 28%).
Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
1. HNL - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Brick wall
Hajduk Split kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 28%).
5/10Clean sheets · Hajduk Split
Bookmakers: Hajduk Split 54% to winIstra 1961 21%
Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split score prediction
1. HNL
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Hajduk Split expected to create clearly more
2.8 goals in total, in line with the 1. HNL average of 2.8.
goals expected
Istra 19611.1Hajduk Split1.7Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 1. HNL
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Hajduk Split to win
Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 2,477 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 5,694 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 57%
Our track record
In 5,315 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,955 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 40%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 2,222 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Istra 1961 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Istra 1961 0–1 goals
Our model 74%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 1,584 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.9% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Hajduk Split Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Hajduk Split 2+ goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 1,013 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Istra 1961–
Hajduk Split–Winner
2 55%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-2 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Istra 1961–Hajduk Split–Winner
2 55%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-2 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
121%
X24%
255%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41% | 59% | 74% | 26% |
| 18% | 82% | 47% | 53% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
| 74% | 26% | 89% | 11% |
1st Half
119%
X40%
240%
1st Score
134%
X6%
260%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
32%
X-2
18%
X-X
14%
1-1
12%
X-1
8%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-2
10.8%
1-1
10.5%
0-1
10.3%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.9%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split: the stats that stand out
1. HNL
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Hajduk Split: brick wall, fast starters and always on the scoresheet
5/10Fast starters
7/10Hajduk Split scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Hajduk Split failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 28%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split: attack vs defence
1. HNL
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other 1. HNL teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Istra 1961: good attack, weak defence (1.48 xG, 1.51 xGA a game)
- Hajduk Split: good attack, good defence (1.70 xG, 0.87 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split form and luck check
1. HNL
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 1. HNL gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Istra 1961Bookmakers: 21% to win today.−0.8
- Hajduk SplitBookmakers: 54% to win today.+1.5
Last 5 matches
Hajduk SplitW
W
L
W
W
Istra 1961L
W
L
W
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Istra 1961 6th of 10 · Hajduk Split 2nd of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 10 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
1. HNL
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 1. HNL gamesBTTS = both teams scoredIstra 1961 and Hajduk Split games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the 1. HNL average (51%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 51%
Istra 19617 of 10
Hajduk Split7 of 10
BTTSleague 52%
Istra 19616 of 10
Hajduk Split4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 179 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split corners, cards and goal times
1. HNL
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameHajduk Split score late
Istra 1961
Hajduk Split
4.9
Corners won · league 4.7
4.4
5.7
Corners conceded · league 4.7
2.5
1.7
Cards · league 2.0
2.1
2.1
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
2.1
53%
Goals before half-time · league 48%
42%
18%
Goals after 75' · league 19%
32%
50%
Conceded before half-time · league 48%
44%
38%
Conceded after 75' · league 19%
22%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Hajduk Split4/5
Istra 19611/5
Both Teams to Score
Hajduk Split2/5
Istra 19612/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Hajduk Split3/5
Istra 19612/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Hajduk Split4/5
Istra 19613/5
First Half Result
Hajduk Split3/5
Istra 19613/5
Correct Score
Hajduk Split0/5
Istra 19610/5
correct predictionwrong prediction