1. Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

1. HNL - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Slow starters

Lokomotiva Zagreb scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).

2/10Scored first · Lokomotiva Zagreb
Bookmakers: Lokomotiva Zagreb 36% to winOsijek 36%

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek score prediction

1. HNL

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.5 goals in total, a little under the 1. HNL average of 2.8.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 1. HNL

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lokomotiva Zagreb to win

Our model 38%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 2,104 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,762 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 53%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,185 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 70%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 4,606 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 40%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,699 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.3% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Lokomotiva Zagreb Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–1 goals

Our model 61%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Osijek Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Osijek 0–1 goals

Our model 62%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,679 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb–
OsijekOsijek–

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

138%
X27%
236%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT60%40%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Lokomotiva Zagreb27%73%61%39%
Osijek29%71%62%38%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Lokomotiva Zagreb84%16%95%5%
Osijek85%15%95%5%

1st Half

132%
X40%
227%

1st Score

148%
X7%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

19%

X-X

16%

X-1

13%

X-2

11%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

12.5%

1-0

8.7%

2-1

8.7%

1-2

8.6%

0-1

7.9%

0-0

6.7%

2-2

6.0%

2-0

5.8%

0-2

5.5%

1-3

3.8%

3-1

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek: the stats that stand out

1. HNL

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Lokomotiva Zagreb: slow starters

Slow starters
Lokomotiva Zagreb2/10

Lokomotiva Zagreb scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek: attack vs defence

1. HNL

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other 1. HNL teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb: weak attack, weak defence (0.99 xG, 1.78 xGA a game)
  • OsijekOsijek: good attack, good defence (1.60 xG, 1.40 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek form and luck check

1. HNL

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 1. HNL games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Lokomotiva Zagreb
    Lokomotiva ZagrebBookmakers: 36% to win today.
    −0.2
  • Osijek
    OsijekBookmakers: 36% to win today.
    −1.6

Last 5 matches

OsijekOsijek
L
D
L
D
W
4th in table
Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb
D
W
L
L
D
9th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Lokomotiva Zagreb 7th of 10 · Osijek 5th of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 10 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

1. HNL

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 1. HNL gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Lokomotiva Zagreb games go over 2.5 goals less often than the 1. HNL average (51%), Osijek games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 51%
Lokomotiva Zagreb4 of 10
Osijek6 of 10
BTTSleague 51%
Lokomotiva Zagreb5 of 10
Osijek5 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 182 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek corners, cards and goal times

1. HNL

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 4.7
  • Cards: league 2.0
  • Goals before half-time: league 48%
  • Goals after 75': league 20%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb
2/5
OsijekOsijek
0/5

Both Teams to Score

Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb
1/5
OsijekOsijek
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb
3/5
OsijekOsijek
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb
4/5
OsijekOsijek
3/5

First Half Result

Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb
3/5
OsijekOsijek
3/5

Correct Score

Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb
1/5
OsijekOsijek
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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