Always on the scoresheet
0/10Rayo Vallecano scored in all of their last 10 (league 25% fail to score).
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Riding their luck
Rayo Vallecano are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+4points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Rayo Vallecano 54% to winElche 21%
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche score prediction
La Liga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Rayo Vallecano expected to create clearly more
2.9 goals in total, a little over the La Liga average of 2.8.
goals expected
Rayo Vallecano1.8
Elche1.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Rayo Vallecano to win
Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 75%Bookmakers 71%
Our track record
In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 42%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Rayo Vallecano Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Rayo Vallecano 0–1 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Elche Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Elche 0–1 goals
Our model 78%Bookmakers 74%
Our track record
In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Rayo Vallecano vs Elche. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Rayo Vallecano–
Elche–Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Rayo Vallecano–Elche–Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
152%
X27%
222%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 55% | 45% |
| 44% | 56% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
140%
X42%
218%
1st Score
160%
X9%
230%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
32%
X-1
19%
X-X
15%
2-2
10%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
13.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: the stats that stand out
La Liga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Rayo Vallecano: always on the scoresheet and leaky · Elche: slow starters
0/10Slow starters
3/10Elche scored first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Leaky
1/10Rayo Vallecano kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 25%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: attack vs defence
La Liga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other La Liga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Rayo Vallecano: weak attack, weak defence (1.36 xG, 1.79 xGA a game)
- Elche: weak attack, weak defence (1.15 xG, 1.57 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Rayo Vallecano vs Elche form and luck check
La Liga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 La Liga gamesRayo Vallecano are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Rayo VallecanoBookmakers: 54% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals+4.1
- ElcheBookmakers: 21% to win today.−1.0
Last 5 matches
Rayo VallecanoD
W
L
W
L
ElcheD
D
W
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Rayo Vallecano 11th of 20 · Elche 18th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
La Liga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 La Liga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Rayo Vallecano and Elche games more often than the La Liga average (56%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 52%
Rayo Vallecano6 of 10
Elche5 of 10
BTTSleague 56%
Rayo Vallecano9 of 10
Elche7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 382 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Rayo Vallecano vs Elche corners, cards and goal times
La Liga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameElche score late
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
4.4
Corners won · league 4.8
4.2
6.7
Corners conceded · league 4.8
4.4
2.5
Cards · league 2.3
2.7
1.9
Opponents' cards · league 2.3
2.2
50%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
25%
6%
Goals after 75' · league 26%
42%
56%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
56%
22%
Conceded after 75' · league 26%
22%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Rayo Vallecano4/5
Elche1/5
Both Teams to Score
Rayo Vallecano3/5
Elche2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Rayo Vallecano3/5
Elche3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Rayo Vallecano2/5
Elche3/5
First Half Result
Rayo Vallecano3/5
Elche3/5
Correct Score
Rayo Vallecano1/5
Elche0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction