Fast starters
8/10Atlético Madrid scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo A Coruña Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Fast starters
Atlético Madrid scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 47%).
8/10Scored first · Atlético Madrid
Bookmakers: Atlético Madrid 76% to winDeportivo La Coruña 8%
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña score prediction
La Liga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Atlético Madrid expected to score more than twice as many as Deportivo La Coruña
2.9 goals in total, a little over the La Liga average of 2.8.
goals expected
Atlético Madrid2.0
Deportivo La Coruña1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Atlético Madrid to win
Our model 60%Bookmakers 76%
Our track record
In 1,057 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 6,468 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 50%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 5,161 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 71%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 4,558 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 42%Bookmakers 34%
Our track record
In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Atlético Madrid Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Atlético Madrid 2+ goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 2,803 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Deportivo La Coruña Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Deportivo La Coruña 0–1 goals
Our model 80%Bookmakers 85%
Our track record
In 1,498 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.9% of the time (bookmakers said 80.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Atlético Madrid–
Deportivo La Coruña–Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Atlético Madrid–Deportivo La Coruña–Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
160%
X23%
217%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 46% | 54% |
| 50% | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
140%
X42%
218%
1st Score
161%
X7%
232%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
33%
X-1
19%
X-X
14%
2-2
10%
X-2
7%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
13.2%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: the stats that stand out
La Liga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Atlético Madrid: fast starters and banker as favourites · Deportivo La Coruña: leaky
8/10Leaky
0/9Deportivo La Coruña kept no clean sheet in their last 9 (league 24%).
Banker as favourites
6/8Atlético Madrid won 6 of 8 as favourites (league 56%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: attack vs defence
La Liga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other La Liga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Atlético Madrid: good attack, good defence (1.91 xG, 1.31 xGA a game)
- Deportivo La Coruña: weak attack, good defence (1.25 xG, 1.31 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña form and luck check
La Liga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 La Liga gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Atlético MadridBookmakers: 76% to win today.+3.2
- Deportivo La CoruñaBookmakers: 8% to win today. · 9 of 10 games+0.1
Last 5 matches
Atlético MadridW
W
W
W
W
Deportivo La CoruñaD
L
D
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Atlético Madrid 3rd of 20 · Deportivo La Coruña 8th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
La Liga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent La Liga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Deportivo La Coruña games more often than the La Liga average (57%), in Atlético Madrid games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 52%
Atlético Madrid8 of 10
Deportivo La Coruña3 of 9
BTTSleague 57%
Atlético Madrid5 of 10
Deportivo La Coruña8 of 9
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 379 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña corners, cards and goal times
La Liga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameDeportivo La Coruña: last 9 with these statsAtlético Madrid score late
Atlético Madrid
Deportivo La Coruña
6.6
Corners won · league 4.8
5.2
3.0
Corners conceded · league 4.8
5.4
2.2
Cards · league 2.4
2.2
1.7
Opponents' cards · league 2.4
2.0
30%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
38%
40%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
31%
38%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
50%
23%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
25%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Deportivo La Coruña0/5
Atlético Madrid4/5
Both Teams to Score
Deportivo La Coruña3/5
Atlético Madrid3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Deportivo La Coruña2/5
Atlético Madrid4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Deportivo La Coruña4/5
Atlético Madrid4/5
First Half Result
Deportivo La Coruña3/5
Atlético Madrid4/5
Correct Score
Deportivo La Coruña3/5
Atlético Madrid1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction