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Real Betis vs Osasuna

Real Betis vs Osasuna 5-2 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result

Real Betis

5–2

Osasuna

2.5Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Real Betis would usually take 2.2 points and Osasuna 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Real Betis.

Real Betis +0.8 pts vs chancesOsasuna −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Real Betis vs Osasuna stats: how the match was played

La Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Real Betis had clearly more shots on target

Real Betis

Osasuna

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

52%

Possession

48%

The match between Real Betis and Osasuna ended 5-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Real Betis win with 60% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Celta de Vigo – Real Betis prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Real Betis vs Osasuna — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Betis to win

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 1,791 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,145 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 71%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Real Betis ahead at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,224 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Real Betis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Betis 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Osasuna Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Osasuna 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 81%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.9% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Real Betis vs Osasuna 5-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Real Betis vs Osasuna. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

La Liga - Spain

Real Betis5

Osasuna2

Winner

1 60%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT

La Liga - Spain

Real Betis5

Osasuna2

Winner

1 60%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

160%

X23%

217%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	26%	74%	49%	51%	61%	39%	83%	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	26%	74%	49%	51%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	61%	39%	83%	17%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	17%	83%	46%	54%	73%	27%	89%	11%
	49%	51%	81%	19%	94%	6%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	17%	83%	46%	54%
	49%	51%	81%	19%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	73%	27%	89%	11%
	94%	6%	99%	1%

1st Half

141%

X42%

217%

1st Score

161%

X7%

232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

34%

X-1

20%

X-X

15%

2-2

10%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

12.5%

2-0

11.0%

1-1

10.5%

2-1

10.1%

0-0

7.3%

3-0

6.7%

3-1

5.9%

0-1

5.7%

2-2

4.5%

1-2

4.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Real Betis vs Osasuna — Recent Form

Real Betis have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Osasuna have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Real Betis

Osasuna

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Osasuna

3/5

Real Betis

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Osasuna

2/5

Real Betis

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Osasuna

2/5

Real Betis

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Osasuna

3/5

Real Betis

3/5

First Half Result

Osasuna

0/5

Real Betis

1/5

Correct Score

Osasuna

1/5

Real Betis

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Celta de Vigo – Real Betis prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).