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Racing Santander vs Valencia

Racing Santander vs Valencia 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Robbed

Racing Santander drew despite more chances

Racing Santander

2–2

Valencia

2.1Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Racing Santander would usually take 1.9 points and Valencia 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Racing Santander.

Racing Santander −0.9 pts vs chancesValencia +0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Racing Santander vs Valencia stats: how the match was played

La Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Racing Santander had more than twice the shots on target

Racing Santander

Valencia

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Racing Santander and Valencia ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Racing Santander win at 45% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Racing Santander – Espanyol prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Racing Santander vs Valencia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Racing Santander to win

Wrong

Our model 46%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,487 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,694 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,159 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 67%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,955 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 43%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Racing Santander Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Racing Santander 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,806 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Valencia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Valencia 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 67%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Racing Santander vs Valencia 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Racing Santander vs Valencia. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

La Liga - Spain

Racing Santander2

Valencia2

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT

La Liga - Spain

Racing Santander2

Valencia2

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

145%

X27%

228%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	22%	78%	45%	55%	57%	43%	81%	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	22%	78%	45%	55%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	57%	43%	81%	19%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	22%	78%	53%	47%	78%	22%	92%	8%
	34%	66%	67%	33%	87%	13%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	22%	78%	53%	47%
	34%	66%	67%	33%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	78%	22%	92%	8%
	87%	13%	96%	4%

1st Half

134%

X43%

224%

1st Score

151%

X6%

243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

X-X

17%

X-1

15%

2-2

15%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.1%

2-1

9.2%

1-0

9.0%

2-0

7.2%

1-2

6.9%

0-1

6.6%

0-0

6.3%

2-2

6.3%

3-1

4.8%

0-2

3.9%

3-0

3.8%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Racing Santander vs Valencia — Recent Form

Valencia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 19th in the table. Racing Santander have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Valencia

Racing Santander

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Valencia

1/5

Racing Santander

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Valencia

2/5

Racing Santander

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Valencia

4/5

Racing Santander

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Valencia

3/5

Racing Santander

2/5

First Half Result

Valencia

4/5

Racing Santander

3/5

Correct Score

Valencia

0/5

Racing Santander

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Racing Santander – Espanyol prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).