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Villarreal vs Elche

Villarreal vs Elche 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Robbed

Villarreal drew despite more chances

Villarreal

0–0

Elche

2.3Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances Villarreal would usually take 2.5 points and Elche 0.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Villarreal.

Villarreal −1.5 pts vs chancesElche +0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Villarreal vs Elche stats: how the match was played

La Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Villarreal had more than twice the shots on target

Villarreal

Elche

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

58%

Possession

42%

The match between Villarreal and Elche ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Villarreal win at 60% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Villarreal – Espanyol prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

Villarreal vs Elche — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Villarreal to win

Wrong

Our model 60%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 1,073 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,526 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 5,208 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 3,994 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Villarreal ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 47%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 4,294 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Villarreal Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Villarreal 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Elche Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Elche 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 78%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,593 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Villarreal vs Elche 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Villarreal vs Elche. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

La Liga - Spain

Villarreal0

Elche0

Winner

1 60%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

· FT

La Liga - Spain

Villarreal0

Elche0

Winner

1 60%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

160%

X23%

217%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%	58%	42%	81%	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	58%	42%	81%	19%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	15%	85%	44%	56%	71%	29%	88%	12%
	47%	53%	78%	22%	94%	6%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	85%	44%	56%
	47%	53%	78%	22%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	71%	29%	88%	12%
	94%	6%	98%	2%

1st Half

146%

X39%

215%

1st Score

169%

X6%

225%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

38%

X-1

20%

X-X

13%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

11.9%

2-0

10.3%

2-1

10.3%

1-1

10.3%

3-0

6.6%

0-0

6.4%

3-1

6.1%

2-2

5.0%

1-2

4.9%

0-1

4.8%

3-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Villarreal vs Elche — Recent Form

Villarreal have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Elche have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Villarreal

Elche

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Elche

1/5

Villarreal

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Elche

3/5

Villarreal

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Elche

2/5

Villarreal

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Elche

3/5

Villarreal

3/5

First Half Result

Elche

2/5

Villarreal

1/5

Correct Score

Elche

0/5

Villarreal

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Villarreal – Espanyol prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).