Real Betis vs FC Barcelona 2-5 Score & Prediction Review
La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Real Betis2–5
FC BarcelonaOn these chances Real Betis would usually take 0.6 points and FC Barcelona 2.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Barcelona.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Real Betis vs FC Barcelona stats: how the match was played
La Liga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
FC Barcelona had more than twice the shots on target
Real Betis
FC Barcelona
5
Shots on target
10
3
Big chances
5
2
Corners
5
3
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
30%
Possession
70%
Real Betis vs FC Barcelona — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FC Barcelona to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,073 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,170 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 261 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
FC Barcelona ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 2,008 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Real Betis 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
FC Barcelona 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,678 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Real Betis vs FC Barcelona 2-5 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Real Betis vs FC Barcelona. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Real Betis2
FC Barcelona5Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Real Betis2FC Barcelona5Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 35% | 66% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 47% | 53% | 71% | 29% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43% | 57% | 73% | 27% |
| 13% | 87% | 37% | 63% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 63% | 37% | 82% | 18% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
31%
X-2
18%
1-1
12%
X-X
12%
X-1
9%
1-X
6%
1-2
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-2
10.1%
1-1
9.1%
0-2
8.2%
0-1
7.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
2-3
4.6%
1-0
4.0%
0-0
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Real Betis vs FC Barcelona — Recent Form
FC Barcelona have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Real Betis have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table.
Last 5 matches
FC BarcelonaReal BetisOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FC BarcelonaReal BetisBoth Teams to Score
FC BarcelonaReal BetisOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FC BarcelonaReal BetisOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FC BarcelonaReal BetisFirst Half Result
FC BarcelonaReal BetisCorrect Score
FC BarcelonaReal Betis