Brick wall
5/10Leyton Orient kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 27%).
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Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)
Clinical
Burton Albion are scoring more goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
+3goals more than their chances (xG) in their last 10
80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Burton Albion 36% to winLeyton Orient 36%
Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient score prediction
League One
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.6 goals in total, a little under the League One average of 2.7.
goals expected
Burton Albion1.4Leyton Orient1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League One
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Leyton Orient to win
Our model 41%Bookmakers 36%
Our track record
In 1,058 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 53%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 6,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 2,837 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 74%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 4,554 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 6,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Burton Albion Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Burton Albion 0–1 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 2,675 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Leyton Orient Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Leyton Orient 0–1 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 2,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Burton Albion–
Leyton Orient–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Burton Albion–Leyton Orient–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
133%
X27%
241%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 37% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 68% | 32% |
| 27% | 73% | 61% | 39% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 97% | 3% |
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
125%
X44%
231%
1st Score
143%
X8%
249%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
22%
1-1
18%
X-X
17%
X-2
15%
X-1
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient: the stats that stand out
League One
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Leyton Orient: brick wall
5/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient: attack vs defence
League One
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other League One teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Burton Albion: weak attack, weak defence (1.02 xG, 1.67 xGA a game)
- Leyton Orient: weak attack, weak defence (1.34 xG, 1.46 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient form and luck check
League One
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League One gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Burton AlbionBookmakers: 36% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals+1.2
- Leyton OrientBookmakers: 36% to win today.+1.9
Last 5 matches
Leyton OrientL
W
D
L
W
Burton AlbionD
D
L
L
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Burton Albion 17th of 24 · Leyton Orient 16th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League One
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 League One gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Leyton Orient games less often than the League One average (54%), in Burton Albion games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 53%
Burton Albion7 of 10
Leyton Orient3 of 10
BTTSleague 54%
Burton Albion6 of 10
Leyton Orient3 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 533 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient corners, cards and goal times
League One
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameBurton Albion score early
Burton Albion
Leyton Orient
4.1
Corners won · league 5.2
3.7
7.0
Corners conceded · league 5.2
6.9
2.0
Cards · league 1.9
2.0
2.1
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
2.5
62%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
36%
23%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
29%
44%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
40%
38%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
10%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Burton Albion2/5
Leyton Orient4/5
Both Teams to Score
Burton Albion3/5
Leyton Orient0/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Burton Albion2/5
Leyton Orient2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Burton Albion3/5
Leyton Orient5/5
First Half Result
Burton Albion2/5
Leyton Orient4/5
Correct Score
Burton Albion0/5
Leyton Orient0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction