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Blackpool vs Mansfield Town 1-4 Score & Prediction Review

League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)

Fair result
BlackpoolBlackpool

1–4

Mansfield TownMansfield Town
1.3Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Blackpool would usually take 1.2 points and Mansfield Town 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Mansfield Town.

Blackpool −1.2 pts vs chancesMansfield Town +1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Blackpool vs Mansfield Town stats: how the match was played

League One

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Blackpool

Mansfield Town

5

Shots on target

6

2

Big chances

2

6

Corners

7

2

Yellow cards

1

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Blackpool and Mansfield Town ended 1-4. Our AI model predicted a Blackpool win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Both Teams To Score — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Mansfield Town – Notts County prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Blackpool vs Mansfield Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League One

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Blackpool to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Mansfield Town to win.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,066 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 2,849 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 72%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 4,572 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,687 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Blackpool Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Blackpool 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,467 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Mansfield Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mansfield Town 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,292 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Blackpool vs Mansfield Town 1-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Blackpool vs Mansfield Town. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
League One - England
BlackpoolBlackpool1
Mansfield TownMansfield Town4

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

140%
X26%
233%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%50%50%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT62%38%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Blackpool27%73%61%39%
Mansfield Town32%68%66%34%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Blackpool84%16%95%5%
Mansfield Town87%13%96%4%

1st Half

133%
X44%
223%

1st Score

153%
X7%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

17%

2-2

15%

X-1

14%

X-2

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.7%

1-0

10.0%

2-1

8.7%

0-1

8.6%

1-2

7.8%

0-0

7.1%

2-0

6.5%

2-2

5.4%

0-2

5.4%

3-1

4.0%

3-0

3.3%

1-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Blackpool vs Mansfield Town — Recent Form

Mansfield Town have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Blackpool have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Mansfield TownMansfield Town
W
W
D
W
D
BlackpoolBlackpool
L
W
L
L
L

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

BlackpoolBlackpool
2/5
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
1/5

Both Teams to Score

BlackpoolBlackpool
2/5
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

BlackpoolBlackpool
3/5
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

BlackpoolBlackpool
3/5
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
4/5

First Half Result

BlackpoolBlackpool
3/5
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
1/5

Correct Score

BlackpoolBlackpool
0/5
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Mansfield Town – Notts County prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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