Shot-shy
5/10Wigan Athletic failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 26%).
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Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Shot-shy
Wigan Athletic failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 26%).
5/10Failed to score · Wigan Athletic
Bookmakers: Wigan Athletic 28% to winMansfield Town 45%
Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town score prediction
League One
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.6 goals in total, a little under the League One average of 2.7.
goals expected
Wigan Athletic1.2
Mansfield Town1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League One
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Mansfield Town to win
Our model 39%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 2,094 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 6,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 2,878 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 73%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 4,590 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 45%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 4,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Wigan Athletic Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Wigan Athletic 0–1 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 2,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Mansfield Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Mansfield Town 0–1 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 2,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Wigan Athletic–
Mansfield Town–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Wigan Athletic–Mansfield Town–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
134%
X27%
239%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 52% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32% | 68% | 67% | 33% |
| 28% | 72% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
130%
X45%
225%
1st Score
150%
X7%
243%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
X-X
17%
2-2
16%
X-1
14%
X-2
13%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.0%
0-1
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
7.2%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town: the stats that stand out
League One
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Wigan Athletic: shot-shy and slow starters
5/10Slow starters
2/10Wigan Athletic scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town: attack vs defence
League One
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other League One teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Wigan Athletic: weak attack, weak defence (1.03 xG, 1.70 xGA a game)
- Mansfield Town: good attack, good defence (1.50 xG, 1.36 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town form and luck check
League One
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League One gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Wigan AthleticBookmakers: 28% to win today.+1.8
- Mansfield TownBookmakers: 45% to win today.+0.4
Last 5 matches
Mansfield TownL
W
W
D
W
Wigan AthleticW
L
L
L
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Wigan Athletic 22nd of 24 · Mansfield Town 12th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League One
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 League One gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Wigan Athletic and Mansfield Town games less often than the League One average (55%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Wigan Athletic6 of 10
Mansfield Town6 of 10
BTTSleague 55%
Wigan Athletic4 of 10
Mansfield Town5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 549 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town corners, cards and goal times
League One
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.2
- Cards: league 1.9
- Goals before half-time: league 43%
- Goals after 75': league 22%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Wigan Athletic4/5
Mansfield Town1/5
Both Teams to Score
Wigan Athletic2/5
Mansfield Town4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Wigan Athletic3/5
Mansfield Town2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Wigan Athletic4/5
Mansfield Town4/5
First Half Result
Wigan Athletic4/5
Mansfield Town1/5
Correct Score
Wigan Athletic0/5
Mansfield Town1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction