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Barnsley vs Cambridge United

Barnsley vs Cambridge United 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Smash-and-grab

Cambridge United won with fewer chances than Barnsley

Barnsley

1–2

Cambridge United

2.4Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Barnsley would usually take 2.0 points and Cambridge United 0.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Cambridge United.

Barnsley −2.0 pts vs chancesCambridge United +2.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Barnsley vs Cambridge United stats: how the match was played

League One

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Barnsley had clearly more shots on target

Barnsley

Cambridge United

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

60%

Possession

40%

The match between Barnsley and Cambridge United ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Cambridge United win with 42% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sheffield Wednesday – Cambridge United prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Barnsley vs Cambridge United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League One

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cambridge United to win

Correct

Our model 42%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 3,635 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 6,527 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,864 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 4,595 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 42%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 6,718 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Barnsley Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Barnsley 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,699 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Cambridge United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cambridge United 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 60%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 1,594 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Barnsley vs Cambridge United 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Barnsley vs Cambridge United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League One - England

Barnsley1

Cambridge United2

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

· FT

League One - England

Barnsley1

Cambridge United2

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

130%

X27%

242%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	27%	73%	52%	48%	63%	37%	85%	15%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	27%	73%	52%	48%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	63%	37%	85%	15%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	35%	65%	69%	31%	89%	11%	97%	3%
	27%	73%	60%	40%	83%	17%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	35%	65%	69%	31%
	27%	73%	60%	40%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	89%	11%	97%	3%
	83%	17%	94%	6%

1st Half

124%

X41%

235%

1st Score

140%

X8%

252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

1-1

16%

X-X

16%

X-2

16%

X-1

10%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.5%

0-1

10.4%

1-2

8.8%

1-0

8.6%

0-0

8.3%

2-1

7.1%

0-2

7.1%

2-2

5.1%

2-0

4.8%

1-3

4.0%

0-3

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Barnsley vs Cambridge United — Recent Form

Cambridge United have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Barnsley have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 23rd in the table.

Last 5 matches

Cambridge United

Barnsley

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Barnsley

4/5

Cambridge United

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Barnsley

5/5

Cambridge United

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Barnsley

3/5

Cambridge United

1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Barnsley

4/5

Cambridge United

3/5

First Half Result

Barnsley

1/5

Cambridge United

1/5

Correct Score

Barnsley

1/5

Cambridge United

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sheffield Wednesday – Cambridge United prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).