Shot-shy
7/10Wigan Athletic failed to score in 7 of their last 10 (league 27%).
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Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Riding their luck
Oxford United are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 8 with xG
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games. Wigan Athletic are the other way round, behind their chances: about −5 points.
Bookmakers: Oxford United 51% to winWigan Athletic 24%
Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic score prediction
League One
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Oxford United expected to create clearly more
2.6 goals in total, a little under the League One average of 2.7.
goals expected
Oxford United1.5Wigan Athletic1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League One
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Oxford United to win
Our model 48%Bookmakers 51%
Our track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 77%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Oxford United Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Oxford United 0–1 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.
Wigan Athletic Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Wigan Athletic 0–1 goals
Our model 75%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Oxford United–
Wigan Athletic–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Oxford United–Wigan Athletic–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
148%
X27%
226%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 58% | 42% |
| 41% | 59% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
135%
X43%
222%
1st Score
154%
X9%
237%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
X-X
18%
X-1
16%
2-2
15%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic: the stats that stand out
League One
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Wigan Athletic: shot-shy · Oxford United: fast starters
7/10Fast starters
7/8Oxford United scored first in 7 of their last 8 (league 47%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic: attack vs defence
League One
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other League One teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Oxford United: weak attack, weak defence (1.18 xG, 1.65 xGA a game)
- Wigan Athletic: weak attack, good defence (1.27 xG, 1.41 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic form and luck check
League One
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League One gamesOxford United riding their luck, Wigan Athletic unlucky
- Oxford UnitedBookmakers: 51% to win today. · 8 of 10 gamesClinical · +6 goals+6.0
- Wigan AthleticBookmakers: 24% to win today.Wasteful · −7 goals−4.8
Last 5 matches
Oxford UnitedD
W
D
W
W
Wigan AthleticW
L
L
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Oxford United 10th of 24 · Wigan Athletic 16th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League One
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent League One gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Wigan Athletic games less often than the League One average (54%), in Oxford United games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 52%
Oxford United6 of 8
Wigan Athletic3 of 10
BTTSleague 54%
Oxford United6 of 8
Wigan Athletic2 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 534 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic corners, cards and goal times
League One
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameOxford United: last 8 with these statsOxford United score late
Oxford United
Wigan Athletic
4.1
Corners won · league 5.2
5.4
7.4
Corners conceded · league 5.2
5.0
2.3
Cards · league 1.9
2.4
2.6
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.8
31%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
17%
44%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
0%
22%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
43%
44%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
29%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Wigan Athletic2/5
Oxford United1/5
Both Teams to Score
Wigan Athletic1/5
Oxford United2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Wigan Athletic4/5
Oxford United3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Wigan Athletic4/5
Oxford United4/5
First Half Result
Wigan Athletic4/5
Oxford United1/5
Correct Score
Wigan Athletic0/5
Oxford United2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction