Always chasing
9/9Notts County conceded first in 9 of their last 9 (league 47%).
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Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Always chasing
Notts County conceded first in 9 of their last 9 (league 47%).
9/9Conceded first · Notts County
Bookmakers: Notts County 31% to winSheffield Wednesday 42%
Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday score prediction
League One
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.8 goals in total, a little over the League One average of 2.7.
goals expected
Notts County1.2
Sheffield Wednesday1.6Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League One
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Notts County to win
Our model 44%Bookmakers 31%
Our track record
In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 66%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Notts County Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Notts County 0–1 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Sheffield Wednesday Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Sheffield Wednesday 0–1 goals
Our model 64%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Notts County–
Sheffield Wednesday–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Notts County–Sheffield Wednesday–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
144%
X24%
232%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 54% | 46% |
| 32% | 68% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
135%
X44%
221%
1st Score
157%
X5%
238%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
X-1
17%
X-X
15%
2-2
14%
X-2
10%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
0-1
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday: the stats that stand out
League One
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Notts County: always chasing and leaky
9/9Leaky
0/9Notts County kept no clean sheet in their last 9 (league 27%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday: attack vs defence
League One
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other League One teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Notts County: weak attack, good defence (1.17 xG, 1.27 xGA a game)
- Sheffield Wednesday: good attack, good defence (1.88 xG, 1.26 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday form and luck check
League One
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League One gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Notts CountyBookmakers: 31% to win today. · 9 of 10 games−3.0
- Sheffield WednesdayBookmakers: 42% to win today. · 9 of 10 games+2.5
Last 5 matches
Sheffield WednesdayW
D
D
D
W
Notts CountyL
L
L
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Notts County 20th of 24 · Sheffield Wednesday 2nd of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League One
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent League One gamesBTTS = both teams scoredNotts County games go over 2.5 goals less often than the League One average (52%), Sheffield Wednesday games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 52%
Notts County3 of 9
Sheffield Wednesday6 of 9
BTTSleague 54%
Notts County6 of 9
Sheffield Wednesday5 of 9
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 534 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday corners, cards and goal times
League One
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameNotts County: last 9 with these statsSheffield Wednesday: last 9 with these statsNotts County score late
Notts County
Sheffield Wednesday
4.3
Corners won · league 5.2
6.3
5.3
Corners conceded · league 5.2
5.3
2.7
Cards · league 1.9
2.1
2.7
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.7
25%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
50%
50%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
25%
46%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
25%
15%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
25%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Sheffield Wednesday1/5
Notts County2/5
Both Teams to Score
Sheffield Wednesday1/5
Notts County2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Sheffield Wednesday3/5
Notts County3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Sheffield Wednesday3/5
Notts County5/5
First Half Result
Sheffield Wednesday3/5
Notts County3/5
Correct Score
Sheffield Wednesday0/5
Notts County1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction