Brick wall
7/10Bradford City kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 27%).
- Home
- Burton Albion vs Bradford City
Burton Albion vs Bradford City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Riding their luck
Bradford City are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+4points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Bradford City 46% to winBurton Albion 26%
Burton Albion vs Bradford City score prediction
League One
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Bore draw alertJust 2.2 goals expected
2.2 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the League One average is 2.7).
goals expected
Burton Albion1.0Bradford City1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Burton Albion vs Bradford City: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Burton Albion vs Bradford City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League One
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Bradford City to win
Our model 43%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 54%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 70%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Burton Albion Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Burton Albion 0–1 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Bradford City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Bradford City 0–1 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Burton Albion vs Bradford City — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Burton Albion vs Bradford City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Burton Albion–
Bradford City–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Burton Albion–Bradford City–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
131%
X26%
243%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 66% | 34% |
| 25% | 75% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
122%
X43%
235%
1st Score
139%
X7%
254%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
28%
X-2
17%
X-X
16%
1-1
14%
X-1
9%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.9%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.7%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Burton Albion vs Bradford City: the stats that stand out
League One
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Bradford City: brick wall, hard to break and banker as favourites
7/10Hard to break
2/10Bradford City conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Banker as favourites
5/7Bradford City won 5 of 7 as favourites (league 49%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Burton Albion vs Bradford City: attack vs defence
League One
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other League One teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Burton Albion: weak attack, weak defence (1.01 xG, 1.61 xGA a game)
- Bradford City: weak attack, good defence (1.12 xG, 0.88 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Burton Albion vs Bradford City form and luck check
League One
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League One gamesBradford City are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Burton AlbionBookmakers: 26% to win today.Clinical · +5 goals+3.0
- Bradford CityBookmakers: 46% to win today.+4.4
Last 5 matches
Bradford CityW
D
D
W
W
Burton AlbionD
L
L
W
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Burton Albion 19th of 24 · Bradford City 6th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Burton Albion vs Bradford City: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League One
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 League One gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBradford City games go over 2.5 goals less often than the League One average (52%), Burton Albion games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 52%
Burton Albion8 of 10
Bradford City1 of 10
BTTSleague 54%
Burton Albion7 of 10
Bradford City2 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 534 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Burton Albion vs Bradford City corners, cards and goal times
League One
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameBurton Albion score early
Burton Albion
Bradford City
4.0
Corners won · league 5.2
7.0
6.2
Corners conceded · league 5.2
5.8
1.9
Cards · league 1.9
2.1
2.2
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
2.0
67%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
30%
20%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
30%
47%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
20%
35%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
20%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Bradford City1/5
Burton Albion2/5
Both Teams to Score
Bradford City3/5
Burton Albion3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Bradford City2/5
Burton Albion2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Bradford City5/5
Burton Albion2/5
First Half Result
Bradford City3/5
Burton Albion1/5
Correct Score
Bradford City1/5
Burton Albion0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction