1. Barnet vs Oldham Athletic

Barnet vs Oldham Athletic Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)

Unlucky

Oldham Athletic are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

−8points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10

83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Oldham Athletic 21% to winBarnet 55%

Barnet vs Oldham Athletic score prediction

League Two

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Goal-fest alert3.0 goals expected

3.0 goals in total: more goals than a typical League Two game (average 2.6).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Barnet vs Oldham Athletic: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Barnet vs Oldham Athletic — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Barnet to win

Our model 55%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 1,797 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 58%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,303 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 65%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,956 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 42%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,228 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Barnet Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Barnet 2+ goals

Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,797 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Oldham Athletic Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Oldham Athletic 0–1 goals

Our model 73%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Barnet vs Oldham Athletic — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Barnet vs Oldham Athletic. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

BarnetBarnet–
Oldham AthleticOldham Athletic–

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

155%
X23%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%79%21%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Barnet17%83%45%55%
Oldham Athletic41%59%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Barnet72%28%88%12%
Oldham Athletic91%9%98%2%

1st Half

140%
X41%
219%

1st Score

161%
X5%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

19%

X-X

15%

2-2

12%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.4%

2-1

10.2%

1-0

9.7%

2-0

8.5%

3-1

6.1%

1-2

6.0%

3-0

5.5%

2-2

5.5%

0-1

5.4%

0-0

5.4%

3-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Barnet vs Oldham Athletic: the stats that stand out

League Two

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Barnet: leaky and always on the scoresheet · Oldham Athletic: flop as favourites

Leaky
Barnet0/10

Barnet kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 28%).

Always on the scoresheet
Barnet0/10

Barnet scored in all of their last 10 (league 28% fail to score).

Flop as favourites
Oldham Athletic2/9

Oldham Athletic won only 2 of 9 as favourites (league 48%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Barnet vs Oldham Athletic: attack vs defence

League Two

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other League Two teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • BarnetBarnet: good attack, good defence (1.85 xG, 1.22 xGA a game)
  • Oldham AthleticOldham Athletic: good attack, good defence (1.58 xG, 1.24 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Barnet vs Oldham Athletic form and luck check

League Two

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League Two games

Oldham Athletic are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

  • Barnet
    BarnetBookmakers: 55% to win today.Clinical · +4 goals
    +2.2
  • Oldham Athletic
    Oldham AthleticBookmakers: 21% to win today.Wasteful · −5 goals
    −7.7

Last 5 matches

BarnetBarnet
L
W
W
W
W
2nd in table
Oldham AthleticOldham Athletic
L
W
D
L
L
21st in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Barnet 1st of 24 · Oldham Athletic 6th of 24

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Barnet vs Oldham Athletic: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

League Two

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 League Two gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Barnet games more often than the League Two average (52%), in Oldham Athletic games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Barnet9 of 10
Oldham Athletic6 of 10
BTTSleague 52%
Barnet10 of 10
Oldham Athletic5 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 540 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Barnet vs Oldham Athletic corners, cards and goal times

League Two

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Oldham Athletic score early, Barnet late

Barnet

Oldham Athletic

6.9

Corners won · league 4.9

5.5

4.1

Corners conceded · league 4.9

5.2

1.8

Cards · league 1.9

1.6

2.6

Opponents' cards · league 1.9

2.2

30%

Goals before half-time · league 44%

64%

43%

Goals after 75' · league 24%

27%

60%

Conceded before half-time · league 44%

47%

13%

Conceded after 75' · league 24%

24%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Oldham AthleticOldham Athletic
4/5
BarnetBarnet
3/5

Both Teams to Score

Oldham AthleticOldham Athletic
2/5
BarnetBarnet
5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Oldham AthleticOldham Athletic
1/5
BarnetBarnet
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Oldham AthleticOldham Athletic
3/5
BarnetBarnet
2/5

First Half Result

Oldham AthleticOldham Athletic
1/5
BarnetBarnet
1/5

Correct Score

Oldham AthleticOldham Athletic
0/5
BarnetBarnet
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores