Always chasing
7/10Fleetwood Town conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 46%).
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Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)
Unlucky
Fleetwood Town are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−6points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games. Bristol Rovers are also behind their chances: about −5 points.
Bookmakers: Fleetwood Town 36% to winBristol Rovers 37%
Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers score prediction
League Two
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.6 goals in total, in line with the League Two average of 2.6.
goals expected
Fleetwood Town1.3
Bristol Rovers1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League Two
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Fleetwood Town to win
Our model 46%Bookmakers 36%
Our track record
In 374 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 6,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 2,848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 75%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 4,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Fleetwood Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Fleetwood Town 0–1 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 3,468 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Bristol Rovers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Bristol Rovers 0–1 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 3,367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Fleetwood Town–
Bristol Rovers–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Fleetwood Town–Bristol Rovers–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
146%
X26%
228%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 58% | 42% |
| 38% | 62% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
135%
X44%
222%
1st Score
154%
X8%
239%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
X-1
18%
X-X
16%
2-2
14%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.2%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers: the stats that stand out
League Two
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Fleetwood Town: always chasing and always on the scoresheet
7/10Always on the scoresheet
1/10Fleetwood Town failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 28%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers: attack vs defence
League Two
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other League Two teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Fleetwood Town: good attack, good defence (1.39 xG, 1.17 xGA a game)
- Bristol Rovers: weak attack, good defence (1.34 xG, 1.19 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers form and luck check
League Two
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League Two gamesBoth sides are getting less than their chances usually bring
- Fleetwood TownBookmakers: 36% to win today.−6.1
- Bristol RoversBookmakers: 37% to win today.Wasteful · −7 goals−5.0
Last 5 matches
Fleetwood TownL
L
W
D
L
Bristol RoversD
L
L
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Fleetwood Town 12th of 24 · Bristol Rovers 7th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League Two
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 League Two gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Bristol Rovers games less often than the League Two average (53%), in Fleetwood Town games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 47%
Fleetwood Town4 of 10
Bristol Rovers4 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Fleetwood Town7 of 10
Bristol Rovers3 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 541 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers corners, cards and goal times
League Two
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.0
- Cards: league 1.9
- Goals before half-time: league 44%
- Goals after 75': league 24%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Bristol Rovers3/5
Fleetwood Town3/5
Both Teams to Score
Bristol Rovers3/5
Fleetwood Town2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Bristol Rovers4/5
Fleetwood Town3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Bristol Rovers3/5
Fleetwood Town4/5
First Half Result
Bristol Rovers1/5
Fleetwood Town4/5
Correct Score
Bristol Rovers0/5
Fleetwood Town1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction