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Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham United 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Fleetwood Town2–0
Rotherham UnitedOn these chances Fleetwood Town would usually take 1.9 points and Rotherham United 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Fleetwood Town.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham United stats: how the match was played
League Two
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Fleetwood Town had more than twice the shots on target
Fleetwood Town
Rotherham United
5
Shots on target
0
3
Big chances
2
9
Corners
5
4
Yellow cards
4
54%
Possession
46%
Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League Two
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Fleetwood Town to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,118 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 801 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Fleetwood Town 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Rotherham United 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham United 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Fleetwood Town2
Rotherham United0Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Fleetwood Town2Rotherham United0Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 57% | 43% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 68% | 32% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29% | 71% | 64% | 36% |
| 36% | 64% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
X-X
16%
2-2
16%
X-1
15%
X-2
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham United — Recent Form
Fleetwood Town have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table. Rotherham United have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 22nd in the table.
Last 5 matches
Fleetwood TownRotherham UnitedOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Rotherham UnitedFleetwood TownBoth Teams to Score
Rotherham UnitedFleetwood TownOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Rotherham UnitedFleetwood TownOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Rotherham UnitedFleetwood TownFirst Half Result
Rotherham UnitedFleetwood TownCorrect Score
Rotherham UnitedFleetwood Town