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Salford City vs Crawley Town

Salford City vs Crawley Town 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result

Salford City

2–1

Crawley Town

1.7Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Salford City would usually take 2.1 points and Crawley Town 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Salford City.

Salford City +1.0 pts vs chancesCrawley Town −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Salford City vs Crawley Town stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Salford City

Crawley Town

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

57%

Possession

43%

The match between Salford City and Crawley Town ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Salford City win with 60% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Crawley Town – Tranmere Rovers prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Salford City vs Crawley Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salford City to win

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 1,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,948 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salford City ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 6,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Salford City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salford City 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Crawley Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crawley Town 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 77%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 2,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.8% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Salford City vs Crawley Town 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Salford City vs Crawley Town. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League Two - England

Salford City2

Crawley Town1

Winner

1 60%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT

League Two - England

Salford City2

Crawley Town1

Winner

1 60%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

160%

X21%

219%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%	57%	43%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	57%	43%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	16%	84%	43%	57%	70%	30%	87%	13%
	45%	55%	77%	23%	93%	7%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	16%	84%	43%	57%
	45%	55%	77%	23%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	70%	30%	87%	13%
	93%	7%	98%	2%

1st Half

144%

X40%

216%

1st Score

167%

X5%

228%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

39%

X-1

19%

X-X

13%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

10.9%

2-1

10.6%

1-1

10.2%

2-0

9.8%

3-0

6.4%

3-1

6.3%

0-0

5.3%

0-1

5.2%

1-2

5.0%

2-2

4.7%

3-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Salford City vs Crawley Town — Recent Form

Salford City have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Crawley Town have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 24th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Salford City

Crawley Town

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Salford City

5/5

Crawley Town

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Salford City

3/5

Crawley Town

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Salford City

2/5

Crawley Town

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Salford City

4/5

Crawley Town

2/5

First Half Result

Salford City

2/5

Crawley Town

1/5

Correct Score

Salford City

0/5

Crawley Town

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Crawley Town – Tranmere Rovers prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).