Always on the scoresheet
1/10York City failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 28%).
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York City vs Accrington Stanley Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Goal-fest alert
More goals than usual expected in York City vs Accrington Stanley
2.8goals expected · League Two average 2.5
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 59%
York City vs Accrington Stanley score prediction
League Two
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert2.8 goals expected
2.8 goals in total, a little over the League Two average of 2.5.
goals expected
York City1.8
Accrington Stanley1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for York City vs Accrington Stanley: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
York City vs Accrington Stanley — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League Two
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
York City to win
Our model 65%Bookmakers 57%
Our track record
In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 51%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 59%
Our track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
York City ahead at half-time
Our model 49%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
York City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
York City 2+ goals
Our model 59%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Accrington Stanley Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Accrington Stanley 0–1 goals
Our model 82%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
York City vs Accrington Stanley — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for York City vs Accrington Stanley. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
York City–
Accrington Stanley–Winner
1 65%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
York City–Accrington Stanley–Winner
1 65%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
165%
X20%
215%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14% | 86% | 41% | 59% |
| 51% | 49% | 82% | 18% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 33% | 85% | 15% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
149%
X35%
215%
1st Score
167%
X6%
228%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
44%
X-1
20%
X-X
11%
2-2
8%
X-2
5%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
York City vs Accrington Stanley: the stats that stand out
League Two
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%York City: always on the scoresheet · Accrington Stanley: hard to break
1/10Hard to break
3/10Accrington Stanley conceded first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →York City vs Accrington Stanley: attack vs defence
League Two
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other League Two teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- York City: good attack, good defence (1.61 xG, 1.24 xGA a game)
- Accrington Stanley: good attack, good defence (1.46 xG, 1.32 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →York City vs Accrington Stanley form and luck check
League Two
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League Two gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- York CityBookmakers: 57% to win today.−1.5
- Accrington StanleyBookmakers: 20% to win today.−1.0
Last 5 matches
Accrington StanleyW
D
W
D
D
York CityD
D
W
L
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: York City 4th of 24 · Accrington Stanley 15th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →York City vs Accrington Stanley: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League Two
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 League Two gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in York City and Accrington Stanley games more often than the League Two average (52%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
York City5 of 10
Accrington Stanley5 of 10
BTTSleague 52%
York City7 of 10
Accrington Stanley6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 541 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →York City vs Accrington Stanley corners, cards and goal times
League Two
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the League Two average
York City
Accrington Stanley
5.8
Corners won · league 4.9
5.1
4.5
Corners conceded · league 4.9
4.7
1.5
Cards · league 2.0
2.9
1.9
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
2.2
44%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
50%
28%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
14%
42%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
69%
33%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
8%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
York City3/5
Accrington Stanley2/5
Both Teams to Score
York City2/5
Accrington Stanley2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
York City3/5
Accrington Stanley3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
York City4/5
Accrington Stanley4/5
First Half Result
York City4/5
Accrington Stanley4/5
Correct Score
York City1/5
Accrington Stanley1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction