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Junior FC vs Rionegro Águilas

Junior FC vs Rionegro Águilas 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 16)

Fair result

Junior FC

1–0

Rionegro Águilas

1.0Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Junior FC would usually take 1.5 points and Rionegro Águilas 1.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Junior FC.

Junior FC +1.5 pts vs chancesRionegro Águilas −1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Junior FC vs Rionegro Águilas stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Junior FC had more than twice the shots on target

Junior FC

Rionegro Águilas

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

35%

Possession

65%

The match between Junior FC and Rionegro Águilas ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Junior FC win with 49% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Llaneros – Junior FC prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Junior FC vs Rionegro Águilas — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Junior FC to win

Correct

Our model 49%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,507 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,862 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 74%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 44%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,710 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Junior FC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Junior FC 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,822 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Rionegro Águilas Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rionegro Águilas 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 74%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,383 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Junior FC vs Rionegro Águilas 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Junior FC vs Rionegro Águilas. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Junior FC1

Rionegro Águilas0

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Junior FC1

Rionegro Águilas0

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

149%

X25%

226%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	27%	74%	51%	49%	64%	36%	86%	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	27%	74%	51%	49%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	64%	36%	86%	14%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	55%	45%	80%	20%	93%	7%
	39%	61%	73%	27%	92%	8%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	55%	45%
	39%	61%	73%	27%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	80%	20%	93%	7%
	92%	8%	98%	2%

1st Half

140%

X44%

216%

1st Score

165%

X7%

228%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

19%

X-X

16%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

12.2%

1-0

11.2%

2-1

9.8%

2-0

8.6%

0-1

7.8%

0-0

7.4%

1-2

6.4%

2-2

5.0%

3-1

4.9%

3-0

4.6%

0-2

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Junior FC vs Rionegro Águilas — Recent Form

Rionegro Águilas have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Junior FC have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Rionegro Águilas

Junior FC

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Rionegro Águilas

3/5

Junior FC

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Rionegro Águilas

3/5

Junior FC

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Rionegro Águilas

3/5

Junior FC

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Rionegro Águilas

4/5

Junior FC

3/5

First Half Result

Rionegro Águilas

2/5

Junior FC

3/5

Correct Score

Rionegro Águilas

1/5

Junior FC

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Llaneros – Junior FC prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).