Slow starters
2/10Deportivo Pereira scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
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Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 16)
Wasteful
Once Caldas are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−6goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Once Caldas 75% to winDeportivo Pereira 7%
Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira score prediction
Liga BetPlay
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Once Caldas expected to score more than twice as many as Deportivo Pereira
2.7 goals in total, a little over the Liga BetPlay average of 2.5.
goals expected
Once Caldas2.0Deportivo Pereira0.7Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga BetPlay
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Once Caldas to win
Our model 72%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 320 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.4% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 6,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 5,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,952 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Once Caldas ahead at half-time
Our model 54%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 1,244 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 53.9% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).
Once Caldas Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Once Caldas 2+ goals
Our model 65%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 3,454 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Deportivo Pereira Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Deportivo Pereira 0–1 goals
Our model 87%Bookmakers 85%
Our track record
In 596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Once Caldas–
Deportivo Pereira–Winner
1 72%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Once Caldas–Deportivo Pereira–Winner
1 72%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
172%
X18%
210%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% | 90% | 35% | 65% |
| 57% | 43% | 87% | 13% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63% | 37% | 83% | 17% |
| 97% | 3% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
153%
X36%
211%
1st Score
173%
X5%
221%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
48%
X-1
21%
X-X
11%
1-X
4%
X-2
4%
2-2
4%
2-1
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
12.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
10.8%
3-0
9.3%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira: the stats that stand out
Liga BetPlay
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Deportivo Pereira: slow starters
2/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira: attack vs defence
Liga BetPlay
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Liga BetPlay teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Once Caldas: good attack, good defence (1.60 xG, 1.08 xGA a game)
- Deportivo Pereira: weak attack, weak defence (0.84 xG, 1.32 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira form and luck check
Liga BetPlay
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga BetPlay gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Once CaldasBookmakers: 75% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals−3.5
- Deportivo PereiraBookmakers: 7% to win today.0.0
Last 5 matches
Once CaldasD
W
W
D
L
Deportivo PereiraW
D
D
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Once Caldas 9th of 20 · Deportivo Pereira 20th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Liga BetPlay
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga BetPlay gamesBTTS = both teams scoredOnce Caldas games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Liga BetPlay average (48%), Deportivo Pereira games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Once Caldas3 of 10
Deportivo Pereira5 of 10
BTTSleague 52%
Once Caldas5 of 10
Deportivo Pereira5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 412 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira corners, cards and goal times
Liga BetPlay
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Liga BetPlay average
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pereira
4.9
Corners won · league 4.5
3.3
2.8
Corners conceded · league 4.5
4.7
2.2
Cards · league 2.9
3.2
3.3
Opponents' cards · league 2.9
3.6
40%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
38%
20%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
25%
64%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
50%
9%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
13%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Once Caldas1/5
Deportivo Pereira3/5
Both Teams to Score
Once Caldas2/5
Deportivo Pereira3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Once Caldas4/5
Deportivo Pereira2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Once Caldas4/5
Deportivo Pereira4/5
First Half Result
Once Caldas3/5
Deportivo Pereira3/5
Correct Score
Once Caldas2/5
Deportivo Pereira0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction