Leaky
1/10Jaguares de Córdoba kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 27%).
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Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 18)
Riding their luck
Atlético Bucaramanga are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Atlético Bucaramanga 47% to winJaguares de Córdoba 25%
Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga score prediction
Liga BetPlay
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.6 goals in total, a little over the Liga BetPlay average of 2.5.
goals expected
Jaguares de Córdoba1.2
Atlético Bucaramanga1.4Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga BetPlay
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Atlético Bucaramanga to win
Our model 37%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 2,085 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 6,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 2,870 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 76%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 49%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 4,273 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Jaguares de Córdoba Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Jaguares de Córdoba 0–1 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 2,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.4% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Atlético Bucaramanga Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Atlético Bucaramanga 0–1 goals
Our model 64%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 379 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Jaguares de Córdoba–
Atlético Bucaramanga–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Jaguares de Córdoba–Atlético Bucaramanga–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
134%
X28%
237%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | 69% | 67% | 33% |
| 30% | 70% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 97% | 3% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
126%
X49%
226%
1st Score
144%
X9%
247%
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
19%
2-2
19%
1-1
17%
X-2
16%
X-1
13%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.3%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga: the stats that stand out
Liga BetPlay
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Jaguares de Córdoba: leaky · Atlético Bucaramanga: always on the scoresheet
1/10Always on the scoresheet
1/10Atlético Bucaramanga failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 27%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga: attack vs defence
Liga BetPlay
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Liga BetPlay teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Jaguares de Córdoba: weak attack, weak defence (1.18 xG, 1.77 xGA a game)
- Atlético Bucaramanga: weak attack, weak defence (1.20 xG, 1.85 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga form and luck check
Liga BetPlay
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga BetPlay gamesAtlético Bucaramanga are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Jaguares de CórdobaBookmakers: 25% to win today.−1.6
- Atlético BucaramangaBookmakers: 47% to win today.Clinical · +4 goals+5.7
Last 5 matches
Atlético BucaramangaD
W
L
L
D
Jaguares de CórdobaL
L
W
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Jaguares de Córdoba 19th of 20 · Atlético Bucaramanga 9th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Liga BetPlay
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga BetPlay gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Jaguares de Córdoba and Atlético Bucaramanga games more often than the Liga BetPlay average (53%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 47%
Jaguares de Córdoba6 of 10
Atlético Bucaramanga5 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Jaguares de Córdoba6 of 10
Atlético Bucaramanga8 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 420 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga corners, cards and goal times
Liga BetPlay
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.5
- Cards: league 2.9
- Goals before half-time: league 46%
- Goals after 75': league 23%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Atlético Bucaramanga2/5
Jaguares de Córdoba5/5
Both Teams to Score
Atlético Bucaramanga4/5
Jaguares de Córdoba2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Atlético Bucaramanga2/5
Jaguares de Córdoba5/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Atlético Bucaramanga5/5
Jaguares de Córdoba4/5
First Half Result
Atlético Bucaramanga3/5
Jaguares de Córdoba5/5
Correct Score
Atlético Bucaramanga2/5
Jaguares de Córdoba1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction