Brick wall
5/10Deportivo Pasto kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 27%).
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Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 18)
Brick wall
Deportivo Pasto kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 27%).
5/10Clean sheets · Deportivo Pasto
Bookmakers: Deportivo Pasto 16% to winSanta Fe 61%
Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto score prediction
Liga BetPlay
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Santa Fe expected to score more than twice as many as Deportivo Pasto
2.5 goals in total, in line with the Liga BetPlay average of 2.5.
goals expected
Santa Fe1.7Deportivo Pasto0.8Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga BetPlay
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Santa Fe to win
Our model 53%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 2,467 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.0% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 50%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 3,108 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 74%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 4,580 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 46%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 4,275 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Santa Fe Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Santa Fe 0–1 goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 1,888 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 40.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.6% than to our 50–55%.
Deportivo Pasto Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Deportivo Pasto 0–1 goals
Our model 77%Bookmakers 79%
Our track record
In 2,569 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.5% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Santa Fe–
Deportivo Pasto–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Santa Fe–Deportivo Pasto–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
153%
X25%
222%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 52% | 48% |
| 43% | 57% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
138%
X46%
216%
1st Score
164%
X8%
228%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
31%
X-1
20%
X-X
17%
2-2
10%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
10.2%
2-0
9.8%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto: the stats that stand out
Liga BetPlay
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Deportivo Pasto: brick wall and hard to break
5/10Hard to break
3/10Deportivo Pasto conceded first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto: attack vs defence
Liga BetPlay
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Liga BetPlay teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Santa Fe: good attack, good defence (1.45 xG, 1.20 xGA a game)
- Deportivo Pasto: weak attack, good defence (1.01 xG, 1.27 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto form and luck check
Liga BetPlay
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga BetPlay gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Santa FeBookmakers: 61% to win today.+2.4
- Deportivo PastoBookmakers: 16% to win today.+3.1
Last 5 matches
Santa FeL
L
W
W
L
Deportivo PastoW
L
W
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Santa Fe 7th of 20 · Deportivo Pasto 13th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Liga BetPlay
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga BetPlay gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Santa Fe and Deportivo Pasto games less often than the Liga BetPlay average (53%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 47%
Santa Fe4 of 10
Deportivo Pasto4 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Santa Fe4 of 10
Deportivo Pasto2 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 421 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto corners, cards and goal times
Liga BetPlay
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.5
- Cards: league 2.9
- Goals before half-time: league 46%
- Goals after 75': league 23%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Santa Fe4/5
Deportivo Pasto3/5
Both Teams to Score
Santa Fe2/5
Deportivo Pasto4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Santa Fe4/5
Deportivo Pasto4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Santa Fe5/5
Deportivo Pasto5/5
First Half Result
Santa Fe4/5
Deportivo Pasto3/5
Correct Score
Santa Fe0/5
Deportivo Pasto0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction