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Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba

Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 7)

Fair result

Santa Fe

2–1

Jaguares de Córdoba

1.7Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Santa Fe would usually take 1.6 points and Jaguares de Córdoba 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Santa Fe.

Santa Fe +1.4 pts vs chancesJaguares de Córdoba −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Santa Fe had more than twice the shots on target

Santa Fe

Jaguares de Córdoba

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Santa Fe and Jaguares de Córdoba ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Santa Fe win with 68% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Jaguares de Córdoba – Llaneros prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Santa Fe to win

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 614 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.7% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,956 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Santa Fe ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 50%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Santa Fe Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Santa Fe 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Jaguares de Córdoba Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jaguares de Córdoba 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 86%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 595 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Santa Fe2

Jaguares de Córdoba1

Winner

1 68%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Santa Fe2

Jaguares de Córdoba1

Winner

1 68%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

168%

X20%

211%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%	60%	40%	80%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	60%	40%	80%	20%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	13%	87%	39%	61%	67%	33%	85%	15%
	56%	44%	86%	14%	96%	4%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	13%	87%	39%	61%
	56%	44%	86%	14%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	67%	33%	85%	15%
	96%	4%	99%	1%

1st Half

150%

X38%

212%

1st Score

172%

X6%

221%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

43%

X-1

21%

X-X

14%

X-2

2-2

1-X

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

13.3%

2-0

12.8%

2-1

9.9%

1-1

9.3%

3-0

9.0%

0-0

6.4%

3-1

6.1%

0-1

4.1%

2-2

3.6%

1-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba — Recent Form

Santa Fe have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Jaguares de Córdoba have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 19th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Santa Fe

Jaguares de Córdoba

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Santa Fe

2/5

Jaguares de Córdoba

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Santa Fe

3/5

Jaguares de Córdoba

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Santa Fe

4/5

Jaguares de Córdoba

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Santa Fe

5/5

Jaguares de Córdoba

3/5

First Half Result

Santa Fe

4/5

Jaguares de Córdoba

4/5

Correct Score

Santa Fe

0/5

Jaguares de Córdoba

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Jaguares de Córdoba – Llaneros prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).